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Charlotte

Also known as: Charlotte
Program History

2006 Team Stats (34 games)

72.2
PPG
75.6
Opp
-3.4
Margin
39.7%
FG%
32.4%
3P%
71.0%
FT%
32.2
RPG
15.5
APG
15.2
TO
79.1
Est. poss./game
70.8
Adj PPG
73.8
Adj Opp PPG
#11
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2006
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 856 (#12) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 882 (#11) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +82 elo More โ†’ 938 (#11) HCA +82 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.3 More โ†’ -3.0 (#11) HCA +3.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ -1.5 (#10) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.371 (#11) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.3 More โ†’ 0.406 (#11) AdjNet -3.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.3 More โ†’ 0.405 (#11) AdjNet -3.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.8 | AdjD 73.8 More โ†’ 0.433 (#11) AdjO 70.8 | AdjD 73.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 72.6 More โ†’ 0.470 (#10) AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 72.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.397 (#10) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.404 (#10) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 135 | GP 34 More โ†’ 884 (#12) RD 135 | GP 34

2006 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2006-05-20 vs Chicago Sky L 82 - 83
2006-05-23 vs Los Angeles Sparks L 65 - 72
2006-05-25 vs Washington Mystics W 73 - 63
2006-06-01 vs Connecticut Sun L 65 - 89
2006-06-03 @ Connecticut Sun L 71 - 89
2006-06-09 vs Indiana Fever W 70 - 59
2006-06-13 @ Washington Mystics L 70 - 87
2006-06-15 vs Washington Mystics L 77 - 96
2006-06-18 @ Indiana Fever L 85 - 92
2006-06-20 vs Connecticut Sun L 66 - 90
2006-06-22 vs Detroit Shock L 74 - 86
2006-06-23 @ Houston Comets L 70 - 85
2006-06-25 @ Detroit Shock L 61 - 71
2006-06-27 @ New York Liberty W 73 - 67
2006-06-29 @ Chicago Sky L 69 - 75
2006-07-01 vs Sacramento Monarchs L 57 - 65
2006-07-06 @ Connecticut Sun L 71 - 76
2006-07-08 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 64 - 66
2006-07-09 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 61 - 70
2006-07-14 vs San Antonio Silver Stars W 81 - 65
2006-07-15 vs Indiana Fever W 75 - 65
2006-07-19 @ Detroit Shock W 73 - 67
2006-07-20 vs Seattle Storm W 86 - 72
2006-07-22 vs Phoenix Mercury L 74 - 78
2006-07-25 vs Minnesota Lynx L 62 - 70
2006-07-27 @ Minnesota Lynx W 81 - 68
2006-07-29 vs New York Liberty L 80 - 85
2006-07-30 @ Washington Mystics L 73 - 78
2006-08-01 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 68 - 65
2006-08-03 @ Phoenix Mercury L 84 - 112
2006-08-05 @ Seattle Storm L 81 - 87
2006-08-08 vs Houston Comets W 68 - 57
2006-08-11 @ New York Liberty L 62 - 64
2006-08-12 vs Chicago Sky W 84 - 57

2006 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Scott Hazelton Scott Hazelton - 36 27.1 12.4 5.2 1.4 1.2 0.8 2.1 12.0 6.9 - - - - 41.3 35.6 74.4 - 47.8 44.9
T. Sutton-Brown T. Sutton-Brown C 33 25.3 11.0 5.7 0.6 0.9 1.7 2.4 8.1 9.5 - - - - 48.9 0 63.7 - 53.8 48.9
M. Currie M. Currie F 38 25.0 10.4 4.2 2.5 1.0 0.1 1.8 8.0 8.4 - - - - 34.8 28.6 79.4 - 49.9 37.7
S. Sam S. Sam F 35 28.0 10.3 4.9 2.6 1.6 0.1 2.2 9.9 7.4 - - - - 39.7 26.6 63.1 - 46.0 42.7
K. Mazzante K. Mazzante NA 36 20.0 8.9 2.8 1.9 1.4 0.2 1.4 8.1 5.6 - - - - 38.2 37.9 85.7 - 51.9 49.5
Y. Leuchanka Y. Leuchanka C 7 21.0 8.1 4.1 1.1 0.4 0.3 1.1 7.4 5.6 - - - - 46.2 100.0 57.1 - 49.0 47.1
L. Bond L. Bond NA 38 17.3 6.2 1.5 2.2 1.1 0.3 2.6 5.1 3.7 - - - - 41.7 21.8 73.0 - 51.3 44.8
Robert Brooks Robert Brooks - 33 19.7 5.0 1.9 2.7 1.2 0.1 2.5 4.8 3.7 - - - - 34.4 35.7 69.1 - 45.8 40.8
J. McCarville J. McCarville C 30 13.4 4.5 3.5 0.8 0.6 0.7 1.0 3.9 5.2 - - - - 45.8 0 63.6 - 49.5 45.8
S. Thomas S. Thomas NA 3 16.3 3.7 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 2.7 - - - - 20.0 33.3 44.4 - 29.0 23.3
T. Butts T. Butts NA 4 16.2 3.2 2.0 1.5 0.0 0.2 1.2 4.0 1.8 - - - - 25.0 0.0 71.4 - 34.1 25.0
T. Fluker T. Fluker NA 34 10.6 2.7 2.2 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.8 3.0 2.0 - - - - 37.3 0.0 73.9 - 41.5 37.3
A. Walker A. Walker NA 25 7.1 2.3 1.6 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.2 1.8 3.0 - - - - 43.5 0 63.0 - 49.2 43.5
Ronald Curry Ronald Curry - 34 8.2 1.9 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.4 2.8 0.5 - - - - 22.9 24.3 50.0 - 32.2 31.8
A. Kendrick A. Kendrick NA 1 3.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2006 Shot Zones

2434 located field-goal attempts in 38 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Sutton-Brown24% Hazelton38% Hazelton37% Hazelton20% Sam18% Mazzante36% Mazzante70% Mazzante27% Hazelton28% Mazzante43%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Sutton-Brown19% Hazelton23% Hazelton29% Mazzante12% Sam20% Curry27% Mazzante46% Mazzante28% Mazzante26% Mazzante24%
Misses: who misses most here

Scott HazeltonS. SamK. MazzanteT. Sutton-BrownRonald Curry

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 461-890 51.8 922 T. Sutton-Brown 24% (220 pts) S. Sam 15% (136 pts) T. Sutton-Brown 19% (82 misses) M. Currie 17% (72 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 104-324 32.1 208 Scott Hazelton 38% (80 pts) T. Sutton-Brown 10% (20 pts) Scott Hazelton 23% (50 misses) S. Sam 15% (33 misses)
Mid-range left 112-319 35.1 224 Scott Hazelton 37% (82 pts) S. Sam 21% (48 pts) Scott Hazelton 29% (59 misses) M. Currie 14% (30 misses)
Mid-range center 15-55 27.3 30 Scott Hazelton 20% (6 pts) Y. Leuchanka 20% (6 pts) K. Mazzante 12% (5 misses) L. Bond 12% (5 misses)
Mid-range right 84-256 32.8 168 S. Sam 18% (30 pts) Scott Hazelton 17% (28 pts) S. Sam 20% (35 misses) Scott Hazelton 16% (28 misses)
Left corner 3 11-44 25.0 33 K. Mazzante 36% (12 pts) Ronald Curry 27% (9 pts) Ronald Curry 27% (9 misses) K. Mazzante 24% (8 misses)
Right corner 3 10-36 27.8 30 K. Mazzante 70% (21 pts) M. Currie 10% (3 pts) K. Mazzante 46% (12 misses) L. Bond 23% (6 misses)
Above-break 3 left 59-197 29.9 177 K. Mazzante 27% (48 pts) Scott Hazelton 25% (45 pts) K. Mazzante 28% (38 misses) Scott Hazelton 14% (20 misses)
Above-break 3 center 32-94 34.0 96 Scott Hazelton 28% (27 pts) S. Sam 25% (24 pts) K. Mazzante 26% (16 misses) Scott Hazelton 23% (14 misses)
Above-break 3 right 76-219 34.7 228 K. Mazzante 43% (99 pts) Robert Brooks 16% (36 pts) K. Mazzante 24% (34 misses) S. Sam 19% (27 misses)