Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Charlotte Sting | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.1% | 33.9% | -3.7 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte Sting -4 (74-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pondexter | 35 | 6-16 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 4 | - |
| P. Taylor | 34 | 3-12 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| K. Miller | 34 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 32 | 9-19 | 4-11 | 5-8 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 16 | - |
| K. Rasmussen | 29 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - |
| J. Lacy | 13 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B. Snell | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
Charlotte Sting
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Smith | 34 | 11-20 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 14 | - |
| S. Sam | 29 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 28 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| T. Sutton-Brown | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| L. Bond | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. McCarville | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| M. Currie | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| A. Feaster | 14 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| H. Darling | 12 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Walker | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter