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Bry. & Strat. (Buf.)

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Also known as: Bry. & Strat. (Buf.)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 2022 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 933 (#502) HCA +95 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -21.4 (#537) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.050 (#559) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -19.2 More → 0.099 (#622) AdjNet -19.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -19.0 More → 0.098 (#621) AdjNet -19.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.0 | AdjD 84.8 More → 0.207 (#622) AdjO 70.0 | AdjD 84.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.0 | AdjD 85.9 More → 0.236 (#571) AdjO 73.0 | AdjD 85.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.178 (#543) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.184 (#551) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 255 | GP 4 More → 741 (#496) RD 255 | GP 4

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-18 @ D'Youville L 71 - 90
2021-12-15 @ Notre Dame (OH) L 75 - 86
2022-02-15 vs D'Youville - Preview
2022-02-18 @ Salem (WV) L 72 - 93

2022 Roster

No roster data available for this season.