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Brown

Also known as: Brown Bears
Program History

2017 Team Stats (7 games)

74.6
PPG
83.6
Opp
-9.0
Margin
43.1%
FG%
34.5%
3P%
74.0%
FT%
29.1
RPG
13.0
APG
12.4
TO
-
Est. poss./game
73.4
Adj PPG
80.4
Adj Opp PPG
#274
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 843 (#263) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 858 (#272) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More โ†’ 913 (#293) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ -7.5 (#275) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ -7.4 (#276) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.339 (#255) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -9.8 More โ†’ 0.244 (#270) AdjNet -9.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -9.9 More โ†’ 0.242 (#270) AdjNet -9.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.4 | AdjD 80.4 More โ†’ 0.347 (#274) AdjO 73.4 | AdjD 80.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.6 | AdjD 78.1 More โ†’ 0.379 (#284) AdjO 72.6 | AdjD 78.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.308 (#275) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.314 (#277) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 151 | GP 28 More โ†’ 861 (#264) RD 151 | GP 28

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-11 @ Cincinnati Bearcats L 55 - 84
2016-11-13 vs Niagara Purple Eagles W 88 - 79
2016-11-16 @ Rhode Island Rams L 72 - 79
2016-11-19 vs Marist Red Foxes L 79 - 87
2016-11-20 @ UAlbany Great Danes L 76 - 80
2016-11-23 vs Morgan State Bears W 81 - 75
2016-11-28 vs Bryant Bulldogs W 91 - 90
2016-11-30 vs St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers W 81 - 71
2016-12-03 @ Central Connecticut Blue Devils W 75 - 58
2016-12-06 @ Providence Friars L 57 - 95
2016-12-09 vs Emerson Lions W 90 - 58
2016-12-10 vs Johnson & Wales Griffins W 89 - 59
2016-12-22 vs Maine Black Bears W 82 - 77
2016-12-29 vs Quinnipiac Bobcats W 66 - 61
2016-12-31 vs Stony Brook Seawolves L 89 - 92
2017-01-04 @ NJIT Highlanders L 73 - 75
2017-01-13 @ Princeton Tigers L 66 - 97
2017-01-14 @ Pennsylvania Quakers W 82 - 70
2017-01-20 vs Yale Bulldogs L 74 - 75
2017-01-27 @ Yale Bulldogs L 75 - 85
2017-02-03 @ Cornell Big Red W 81 - 70
2017-02-04 @ Columbia Lions L 78 - 83
2017-02-10 vs Harvard Crimson L 74 - 87
2017-02-11 vs Dartmouth Big Green L 74 - 77
2017-02-17 vs Pennsylvania Quakers L 72 - 96
2017-02-18 vs Princeton Tigers L 51 - 66
2017-02-24 @ Dartmouth Big Green W 80 - 75
2017-02-25 @ Harvard Crimson L 58 - 77
2017-03-03 vs Columbia Lions W 88 - 68
2017-03-04 vs Cornell Big Red L 78 - 92

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Steven Spieth Steven Spieth F 20 34.0 17.5 6.1 4.0 1.6 0.4 3.4 4.2 21.9 -61 26 -2.3 -3.0 47.1 46.3 81.0 -0.67 169.1 58.2
Tavon Blackmon Tavon Blackmon G 19 28.1 11.4 1.2 4.1 0.9 0.0 2.4 3.8 11.3 -29 25 -1.2 -1.7 38.4 38.2 66.7 -0.08 136.3 47.3
Joshua Howard Joshua Howard F 20 21.4 10.2 4.5 0.1 1.4 0.8 1.1 2.1 13.8 -50 26 -1.9 -4.0 50.0 16.7 58.8 0.4 205.1 51.2
Obi Okolie Obi Okolie G 20 27.8 9.6 3.7 1.3 0.6 0.0 1.9 3.0 10.2 -88 26 -3.4 -5.4 49.2 35.3 81.8 -3.05 139.1 54.2
Brandon Anderson Brandon Anderson G 20 22.2 8.9 2.0 1.9 1.5 0.0 1.8 2.4 10.3 -112 26 -4.3 -8.0 39.6 7.7 57.9 -3.88 158.8 40.6
Travis Fuller Travis Fuller F 20 16.6 7.5 5.8 0.8 0.3 0.6 1.3 1.4 12.3 55 26 2.1 5.2 51.9 0.0 81.2 3.51 221.8 51.9
JR Hobbie JR Hobbie G 19 15.8 7.2 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.4 1.6 6.4 30 25 1.2 3.3 41.9 40.0 85.7 2.02 201.0 61.3
Corey Daugherty Corey Daugherty G 20 15.6 3.8 1.5 1.8 0.8 0.1 0.9 1.5 5.7 22 24 0.9 2.4 30.0 29.2 0 1.7 126.7 41.7
Kyle Haber Kyle Haber F 6 6.3 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 3.3 7 8 0.9 7.1 40.0 0.0 100.0 -0.88 153.1 40.0
Miki Ljuboja Miki Ljuboja F 3 5.3 2.3 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 2.7 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Chris Sullivan Chris Sullivan G 18 8.7 1.7 1.2 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 3.1 12 22 0.5 2.8 33.3 33.3 0 -0.45 500.0 50.0
Brandon Charnov Brandon Charnov - 3 3.7 1.3 1.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 2.3 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Patrick Triplett Patrick Triplett G 16 7.4 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.4 2.2 -25 20 -1.2 -8.0 16.7 0.0 66.7 -3.08 115.7 16.7
David Erebor David Erebor F 13 4.0 0.5 0.8 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.2 1.2 -26 16 -1.6 -15.8 0.0 0 0 -2.54 150.0 0.0
Blake Wilkinson Blake Wilkinson F 1 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0 9 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 -1.61 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG