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2017-02-17

Model Predictions

Model Pennsylvania Quakers Brown Bears Spread Result
Elo 64.3% 35.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 59.0% 41.0% - โœ“
Margin 73.4% 26.6% -5.6 โœ“ (18.4 off)
Pythagorean 58.2% 41.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 78.5% 21.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 78.7% 21.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 60.6% 39.4% - โœ“

Actual: Brown Bears -24 (72-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pennsylvania Quakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
AJ Brodeur * 32 3-4 0-0 4-6 9 5 0 6 5 10 21 -
Matt Howard * 30 5-8 1-2 0-1 5 1 0 0 5 11 4 -
Ryan Betley * 30 9-14 6-10 4-4 7 4 1 1 0 28 27 -
Jackson Donahue * 29 7-14 6-11 0-1 1 2 0 0 4 20 5 -
Darnell Foreman * 21 2-5 0-1 2-2 3 5 0 0 2 6 7 -
Devon Goodman 31 5-9 1-3 3-3 6 2 2 0 2 14 13 -
Sam Jones 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Max Rothschild 8 2-2 0-0 1-2 6 2 1 1 0 5 13 -
Dan Dwyer 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Caleb Wood 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jake Silpe 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Kuba Mijakowski 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Tyler Hamilton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Matt MacDonald 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Steven Spieth * 34 7-16 5-10 7-7 5 4 2 0 6 26 15 -
Joshua Howard * 32 4-6 0-1 2-4 3 0 5 1 0 10 13 -
Corey Daugherty * 30 2-7 1-6 0-0 2 3 1 1 1 5 4 -
Brandon Anderson * 30 4-11 1-5 0-1 1 3 0 0 3 9 -1 -
Tavon Blackmon * 22 3-7 3-5 0-0 2 5 0 0 2 9 7 -
JR Hobbie 12 2-4 2-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 6 1 -
Patrick Triplett 11 0-2 0-1 3-4 0 0 1 0 0 3 2 -
Obi Okolie 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Travis Fuller 10 1-3 0-0 2-3 3 1 0 1 0 4 6 -
Chris Sullivan 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
David Erebor 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter