Bethune-Cookman
Model Outputs
2008-2009
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 774 (#295) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 908 (#238) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1002 (#178) | HCA +107 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -9.3 (#292) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -9.3 (#296) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.402 (#220) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.147 (#299) | AdjNet -15.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.142 (#300) | AdjNet -15.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.320 (#290) | AdjO 53.1 | AdjD 61.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.412 (#253) | AdjO 54.4 | AdjD 58.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.285 (#283) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.301 (#284) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 845 (#284) | RD 131 | GP 30 |
2009 Schedule & Results
2009 Roster
No roster data available for this season.