Model Predictions
| Model | Bethune-Cookman Wildcats | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.3% | 96.7% | +23.6 | ✓ (16.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.6% | 97.4% | +20.0 | ✓ (20.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +40 (78-38). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Reed | 34 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Alexander Starling | 33 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Alvin Pegues | 26 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| D. Whatley | 23 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Mike White | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jarrell Thomas | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Kene Anusionwu | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| John Holmes | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3 | - |
| Tyrel Adams | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Daniel Feliciano | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Creppy | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Stanley Elliott | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jerry Jones | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Johnson | 26 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| K. Huelsman | 21 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Rob Lowery | 19 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Chris Wright | 19 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Luke Fabrizius | 19 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| C. Little | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Mickey Perry | 15 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| S. Thomas | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| L. Warren | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Devin Searcy | 14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Chris Johnson | 13 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| D. Fox | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Paul Williams | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brad McEldowney | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Hendrick | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter