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Baylor

Also known as: Baylor Bears, Baylor
Program History

2014 Team Stats (25 games)

74.0
PPG
68.9
Opp
+5.1
Margin
44.9%
FG%
38.0%
3P%
67.2%
FT%
37.4
RPG
14.6
APG
11.1
TO
-
Est. poss./game
74.5
Adj PPG
60.9
Adj Opp PPG
#24
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2013-2014
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1292 (#16) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1261 (#28) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +92 elo More โ†’ 1131 (#27) HCA +92 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +14.8 (#22) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ +15.7 (#13) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.717 (#52) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +21.3 More โ†’ 0.921 (#26) AdjNet +21.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +21.5 More โ†’ 0.923 (#26) AdjNet +21.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 60.9 More โ†’ 0.776 (#24) AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 60.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.4 | AdjD 62.2 More โ†’ 0.717 (#16) AdjO 72.4 | AdjD 62.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.842 (#19) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.834 (#19) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 91 | GP 36 More โ†’ 1298 (#19) RD 91 | GP 36

2014 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2013-11-08 vs Colorado Buffaloes W 72 - 60
2013-11-12 vs South Carolina Gamecocks W 66 - 64
2013-11-17 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 87 - 68
2013-11-20 vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 69 - 64
2013-11-25 @ Chaminade Silverswords W 93 - 77
2013-11-26 @ Dayton Flyers W 67 - 66
2013-11-27 vs Syracuse Orange L 67 - 74
2013-12-01 vs Hardin Simmons Cowboys W 104 - 59
2013-12-06 vs Kentucky Wildcats W 67 - 62
2013-12-18 vs Northwestern State Demons W 91 - 84
2013-12-22 vs Southern Jaguars W 81 - 56
2013-12-30 vs Oral Roberts Golden Eagles W 81 - 55
2014-01-03 vs Savannah State Tigers W 80 - 50
2014-01-07 @ Iowa State Cyclones L 72 - 87
2014-01-11 vs TCU Horned Frogs W 88 - 62
2014-01-15 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders L 72 - 82
2014-01-18 vs Oklahoma Sooners L 64 - 66
2014-01-20 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 68 - 78
2014-01-25 vs Texas Longhorns L 60 - 74
2014-01-28 vs West Virginia Mountaineers L 64 - 66
2014-02-01 @ Oklahoma State Cowboys W 76 - 70
2014-02-04 vs Kansas Jayhawks L 52 - 69
2014-02-08 @ Oklahoma Sooners L 72 - 88
2014-02-12 @ TCU Horned Frogs W 91 - 58
2014-02-15 vs Kansas State Wildcats W 87 - 73
2014-02-17 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys W 70 - 64
2014-02-22 @ West Virginia Mountaineers W 88 - 75
2014-02-26 @ Texas Longhorns L 69 - 74
2014-03-01 vs Texas Tech Red Raiders W 59 - 49
2014-03-04 vs Iowa State Cyclones W 74 - 61
2014-03-08 @ Kansas State Wildcats W 76 - 74
2014-03-12 vs TCU Horned Frogs W 76 - 68
2014-03-13 @ Oklahoma Sooners W 78 - 73
2014-03-14 @ Texas Longhorns W 86 - 69
2014-03-15 @ Iowa State Cyclones L 65 - 74
2014-03-21 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers W 74 - 60
2014-03-23 @ Creighton Bluejays W 85 - 55
2014-03-27 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 52 - 69

2014 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Cory Jefferson Cory Jefferson F 36 28.8 13.6 8.2 1.0 0.4 1.4 1.2 7.0 16.2 110 33 3.3 5.1 51.0 40.0 65.4 1.95 78.6 53.0
Brady Heslip Brady Heslip G 36 27.1 11.8 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.4 5.2 8.7 138 33 4.2 6.8 42.9 45.0 81.6 3.66 100.7 61.9
Isaiah Austin Isaiah Austin C 36 27.7 11.4 5.4 1.4 0.4 3.0 1.8 7.0 12.8 68 33 2.1 3.3 44.2 26.9 66.3 0.13 69.5 47.0
Kenny Chery Kenny Chery G 35 28.5 11.4 2.5 4.5 0.9 0.1 1.9 6.3 11.0 92 32 2.9 4.4 40.7 37.8 87.7 1.1 79.7 47.7
Royce O'Neale Royce O'Neale F 36 26.8 6.9 5.1 3.0 0.9 0.2 1.7 3.4 11.0 137 33 4.2 6.8 49.2 45.9 57.1 2.66 82.8 56.1
Rico Gathers Rico Gathers F 36 17.9 6.6 6.4 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.8 3.6 9.9 45 32 1.4 3.4 48.5 0 53.8 0.27 67.7 48.5
Taurean Prince Taurean Prince F 36 14.5 6.1 2.8 0.6 0.5 0.2 1.3 3.4 5.4 27 33 0.8 2.6 47.2 31.2 71.6 0.58 71.8 51.2
Gary Franklin Gary Franklin G 36 21.9 5.5 1.6 2.4 0.5 0.0 1.4 3.5 5.1 23 33 0.7 1.4 34.9 31.8 79.2 -1.77 72.9 45.6
Ishmail Wainright Ishmail Wainright G 30 9.5 2.0 1.6 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.8 1.1 3.1 29 26 1.1 5.6 51.5 25.0 61.1 0.83 73.3 53.0
Logan Lowery Logan Lowery F 12 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 10 11 0.9 24.9 66.7 100.0 50.0 0.61 87.2 75.0
John Heard John Heard F 10 1.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 -0.3 -3 9 -0.3 -13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2.19 0.0 0.0
Josh Clemons Josh Clemons - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG