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Ball State

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Ball State Cardinals, Ball State
Program History
Coach: James Whitford

2015 Team Stats (3 games)

68.0
PPG
82.7
Opp
-14.7
Margin
45.8%
FG%
37.9%
3P%
76.4%
FT%
24.3
RPG
11.3
APG
14.7
TO
-
Est. poss./game
63.7
Adj PPG
67.7
Adj Opp PPG
#238
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2014-2015
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 717 (#326) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 803 (#311) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +90 elo More → 823 (#348) HCA +90 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → -4.2 (#234) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → -7.5 (#292) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.293 (#271) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -6.6 More → 0.318 (#231) AdjNet -6.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -6.6 More → 0.319 (#229) AdjNet -6.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.7 | AdjD 67.7 More → 0.409 (#238) AdjO 63.7 | AdjD 67.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.8 | AdjD 68.0 More → 0.362 (#306) AdjO 61.8 | AdjD 68.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.287 (#296) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.279 (#303) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 143 | GP 29 More → 791 (#310) RD 143 | GP 29

2015 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2014-11-14 @ Utah Utes L 72 - 90
2014-11-17 vs IU Kokomo Cougars W 101 - 62
2014-11-22 @ IU Indianapolis Jaguars L 69 - 71
2014-11-24 vs Grambling Tigers W 88 - 46
2014-12-03 @ Eastern Illinois Panthers L 54 - 61
2014-12-06 vs Indiana State Sycamores W 70 - 63
2014-12-13 @ Valparaiso Beacons L 62 - 65
2014-12-17 vs James Madison Dukes L 52 - 72
2014-12-20 @ San Diego State Aztecs L 57 - 70
2014-12-28 vs Longwood Lancers W 69 - 64
2015-01-03 vs Bethune-Cookman Wildcats W 51 - 48
2015-01-07 @ Eastern Michigan Eagles W 60 - 59
2015-01-10 vs Central Michigan Chippewas W 83 - 65
2015-01-14 @ Western Michigan Broncos L 93 - 95
2015-01-17 @ Bowling Green Falcons L 46 - 58
2015-01-21 vs Ohio Bobcats L 73 - 82
2015-01-24 vs Kent State Golden Flashes L 52 - 63
2015-01-27 @ Akron Zips L 47 - 59
2015-01-31 @ Miami (OH) RedHawks L 73 - 79
2015-02-04 vs Buffalo Bulls L 78 - 82
2015-02-07 vs Toledo Rockets L 61 - 72
2015-02-10 @ Northern Illinois Huskies L 63 - 75
2015-02-14 vs Bowling Green Falcons L 65 - 79
2015-02-18 @ Kent State Golden Flashes L 53 - 58
2015-02-21 @ Central Michigan Chippewas L 60 - 83
2015-02-24 vs Western Michigan Broncos L 48 - 53
2015-02-28 @ Toledo Rockets L 59 - 70
2015-03-03 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles L 60 - 67
2015-03-06 vs Northern Illinois Huskies L 67 - 71
2015-03-09 @ Bowling Green Falcons L 75 - 88

2015 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jeremiah Davis Jeremiah Davis G 1 26.0 16.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 12.0 13.0 -35 18 -1.9 -3.0 50.0 0.0 66.7 0.72 54.6 50.0
Sean Sellers Sean Sellers G 15 30.7 12.7 3.5 1.8 0.3 0.4 1.4 2.3 15.0 -72 25 -2.9 -4.2 58.8 62.5 100.0 -2.25 235.2 73.5
Jeremie Tyler Jeremie Tyler G 9 30.2 12.0 3.8 1.3 1.3 0.3 2.1 4.9 11.8 -7 6 -1.2 -1.7 50.0 42.9 66.7 1.0 119.2 60.2
Zavier Turner Zavier Turner G 13 33.5 11.1 2.6 3.8 0.7 0.0 3.7 2.7 11.8 -128 22 -5.8 -8.5 42.9 43.5 80.0 -3.39 164.4 57.1
Matt Kamieniecki Matt Kamieniecki F 15 21.8 9.3 7.3 0.7 1.1 0.8 1.2 2.3 15.7 6 19 0.3 0.6 51.4 0 65.0 0.68 159.8 51.4
Franko House Franko House F 15 27.9 9.1 5.5 2.5 1.0 0.4 2.0 2.2 14.3 -1 25 0.0 -0.1 51.5 20.0 71.4 3.38 189.9 53.0
Bo Calhoun Bo Calhoun F 15 21.8 6.8 4.1 0.5 0.3 0.5 1.1 1.7 9.5 -97 25 -3.9 -6.7 68.0 42.9 77.8 -0.82 176.1 74.0
Francis Kiapway Francis Kiapway G 13 23.3 5.6 1.6 1.1 0.5 0.0 0.8 0.8 7.2 -42 24 -1.8 -2.9 50.0 44.4 50.0 -1.27 335.5 70.0
Rocco Belcaster Rocco Belcaster F 15 16.7 3.9 1.9 1.1 0.3 0.0 1.2 1.2 4.8 -101 25 -4.0 -10.6 22.2 27.3 66.7 -3.37 140.5 30.6
Mading Thok Mading Thok C 4 5.5 3.5 2.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 1.0 5.0 - - - - 50.0 0 50.0 -0.05 93.1 50.0
Bik Gill Bik Gill F 8 10.8 2.9 2.0 0.4 0.2 0.4 1.4 0.8 3.8 -26 12 -2.2 -12.7 0.0 0.0 66.7 -1.68 157.1 0.0
Kaleb Mallory Kaleb Mallory G 7 11.9 1.4 0.4 1.7 0.7 0.0 0.7 1.0 2.6 -2 10 -0.2 -1.0 57.1 100.0 20.0 -1.88 54.3 64.3

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG