Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.5% | 95.5% | +24.1 | ✓ (13.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.1% | 90.9% | +12.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets +11 (70-59). Ratings: 2014-15 season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franko House * | 35 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Jeremiah Davis * | 35 | 0-10 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Bo Calhoun * | 31 | 13-17 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 19 | - |
| Francis Kiapway * | 29 | 2-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Sean Sellers * | 29 | 4-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Zavier Turner | 27 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Rocco Belcaster | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.D. Weatherspoon * | 32 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Julius Brown * | 32 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jonathan Williams * | 30 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Justin Drummond * | 29 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Nathan Boothe * | 26 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Jordan Lauf | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Zach Garber | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Stuckey Mosley | 10 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Kurt Hall | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Aubrey Williams | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter