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Arkansas State Red Wolves

Also known as: Arkansas State Red Wolves
Program History

2017 Team Stats (5 games)

60.6
PPG
75.4
Opp
-14.8
Margin
32.8%
FG%
32.0%
3P%
65.4%
FT%
37.8
RPG
9.6
APG
17.0
TO
88.4
Pace

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1226 (#45) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1146 (#144) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More → +20.2 (#205) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.855 (#72) -

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-22 vs Florida Gators L 60 - 71
2016-12-02 @ Wichita State Shockers L 51 - 69
2016-12-11 vs South Florida Bulls L 59 - 78
2017-03-07 @ Georgia Southern Eagles W 61 - 54
2017-03-09 @ Troy Trojans L 72 - 105

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Ford J. Ford G 4 19.0 10.5 1.5 0.2 1.8 0.2 0.8 9.0 4.5 - - - 30.6 32.0 70.6 0.46 48.3 41.7
T. Hopkins T. Hopkins F 5 19.8 8.4 3.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 1.6 8.2 2.8 - - - 36.6 54.5 46.2 0.51 44.9 43.9
S. Taylor S. Taylor G 5 19.4 6.4 2.4 0.8 0.8 0.0 2.2 7.0 1.2 - - - 34.3 0.0 72.7 0.79 40.2 34.3
T. Hopkins T. Hopkins G 1 31.0 5.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 6.0 - - - 20.0 0 75.0 0.51 37.0 20.0
M. Heckert M. Heckert F 2 24.0 4.5 6.5 1.0 0.5 1.5 2.0 7.5 4.5 - - - 26.7 0.0 100.0 -0.61 29.1 26.7
P. Tennison P. Tennison G 5 9.0 3.2 1.2 1.8 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.4 2.6 - - - 41.7 37.5 75.0 -0.48 58.1 54.2

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG