Model Predictions
| Model | South Florida Bulls | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 92.1% | 7.9% | -13.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves -19 (59-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
South Florida Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Flores | 35 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | - |
| A. Pujol | 31 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 12 | - |
| M. Jespersen | 28 | 7-13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| T. Henshaw | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| K. Laksa | 23 | 9-18 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 7 | - |
| D. Nagy | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| L. Ferreira | 21 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 6 | - |
| K. Weber | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Taylor | 29 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -6 | - |
| T. Hopkins | 21 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| J. Ford | 20 | 3-12 | 2-10 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| P. Tennison | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter