Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.4% | 97.6% | +20.4 | ✓ (12.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Troy Trojans +33 (105-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Tennison | 27 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 11 | - |
| T. Hopkins | 22 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| J. Ford | 22 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 5-9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| M. Heckert | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| S. Taylor | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Robinson | 17 | 0-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| H. Winchester | 10 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| A. Rivers | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Day | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter