Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.5% | 92.5% | +13.8 | ✓ (19.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Troy Trojans +33 (105-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Tennison | 27 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 11 | - |
| T. Hopkins | 22 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| J. Ford | 22 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 5-9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| M. Heckert | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| S. Taylor | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Robinson | 17 | 0-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| H. Winchester | 10 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| A. Rivers | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Day | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter