🐻⬇️🏀

Arkansas State

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Arkansas State Red Wolves
Program History

2016 Team Stats (1 games)

81.0
PPG
61.0
Opp
+20.0
Margin
48.4%
FG%
26.7%
3P%
60.7%
FT%
42.0
RPG
22.0
APG
16.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
71.5
Adj PPG
60.7
Adj Opp PPG
#67
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2015-2016
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1257 (#62) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1252 (#41) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +74 elo More → 1138 (#33) HCA +74 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +10.5 (#77) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +9.9 (#72) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.919 (#18) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +15.8 More → 0.861 (#80) AdjNet +15.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +15.6 More → 0.860 (#82) AdjNet +15.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.5 | AdjD 60.7 More → 0.727 (#67) AdjO 71.5 | AdjD 60.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.1 | AdjD 61.3 More → 0.726 (#37) AdjO 72.1 | AdjD 61.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.781 (#59) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.780 (#52) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 113 | GP 33 More → 1208 (#54) RD 113 | GP 33

2016 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2015-11-14 @ Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles W 77 - 55
2015-11-18 @ UT Martin Skyhawks W 76 - 74
2015-11-21 vs Wichita State Shockers W 67 - 40
2015-11-25 @ Chattanooga Mocs L 54 - 55
2015-11-28 @ Florida Gulf Coast Eagles W 62 - 48
2015-12-07 @ Florida Gators L 72 - 76
2015-12-12 vs Alcorn State Lady Braves W 82 - 50
2015-12-16 vs Austin Peay Governors W 66 - 55
2015-12-21 @ Nebraska Cornhuskers L 71 - 79
2015-12-30 @ Troy Trojans W 101 - 81
2016-01-02 @ South Alabama Jaguars W 66 - 53
2016-01-07 vs UL Monroe Warhawks W 66 - 43
2016-01-09 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 83 - 56
2016-01-16 vs App State Mountaineers W 83 - 60
2016-01-18 vs Little Rock Trojans W 66 - 53
2016-01-21 @ UT Arlington Mavericks W 78 - 71
2016-01-23 @ Texas State Bobcats W 74 - 59
2016-01-28 vs Georgia State Panthers W 75 - 54
2016-01-30 vs Georgia Southern Eagles W 77 - 54
2016-02-04 vs South Alabama Jaguars W 58 - 51
2016-02-06 vs Troy Trojans W 94 - 80
2016-02-11 @ Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 74 - 62
2016-02-13 @ UL Monroe Warhawks W 78 - 64
2016-02-18 @ Georgia Southern Eagles W 79 - 52
2016-02-20 @ Georgia State Panthers W 85 - 64
2016-02-25 vs Texas State Bobcats W 87 - 50
2016-02-27 vs UT Arlington Mavericks W 66 - 44
2016-03-01 @ Little Rock Trojans L 69 - 71
2016-03-05 @ App State Mountaineers W 83 - 74
2016-03-09 vs App State Mountaineers W 81 - 61
2016-03-11 vs Troy Trojans L 89 - 96
2016-03-17 vs Southern Jaguars W 68 - 45
2016-03-21 @ UTEP Miners L 68 - 74

2016 Roster

No roster data available for this season.