Model Predictions
| Model | App State Mountaineers | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.0% | 79.0% | +7.3 | ✓ (12.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +20 (81-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Carter | 32 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 19 | - |
| J. Jones | 30 | 11-21 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 8 | - |
| M. Story | 26 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -5 | - |
| K. Craven | 26 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -3 | - |
| F. Wood | 18 | 0-6 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| A. Bassett-Smith | 17 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| M. Marshall | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| K. Cooper | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Ogunjimi | 16 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| E. Norregaard | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Buehler | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Brown-Haywood | 30 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 13 | - |
| J. Flanery | 30 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| K. Ladd | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter