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Arkansas Razorbacks

Also known as: Arkansas Razorbacks
Program History

2012 Team Stats (8 games)

65.6
PPG
58.9
Opp
+6.8
Margin
41.0%
FG%
29.2%
3P%
73.0%
FT%
30.6
RPG
13.8
APG
0.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
64.3
Adj PPG
47.0
Adj Opp PPG
#25
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1300 (#38) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1285 (#23) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +78 elo More โ†’ 1120 (#37) HCA +78 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ +18.4 (#29) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +22.1 (#11) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.899 (#19) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +31.9 More โ†’ 0.976 (#17) AdjNet +31.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +32.3 More โ†’ 0.977 (#17) AdjNet +32.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.3 | AdjD 47.0 More โ†’ 0.828 (#25) AdjO 64.3 | AdjD 47.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.8 | AdjD 48.7 More โ†’ 0.798 (#12) AdjO 63.8 | AdjD 48.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.888 (#19) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.884 (#19) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 108 | GP 30 More โ†’ 1259 (#29) RD 108 | GP 30

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-16 vs UT Arlington Mavericks W 57 - 34
2011-11-20 vs Utah Utes W 57 - 56
2011-11-25 vs Grambling Lady Tigers W 69 - 49
2011-12-03 @ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders W 59 - 53
2011-12-06 vs Stephen F. Austin Ladyjacks W 61 - 46
2011-12-10 vs Oral Roberts Golden Eagles W 65 - 37
2011-12-19 vs Morgan State Lady Bears W 81 - 50
2011-12-21 vs Texas Southern Tigers W 86 - 41
2011-12-28 vs Mississippi Valley State Devilettes W 59 - 40
2012-01-01 @ Georgia Lady Bulldogs L 57 - 67
2012-01-05 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 72 - 84
2012-01-08 vs Tennessee Lady Volunteers L 38 - 69
2012-01-12 @ Ole Miss Rebels L 54 - 60
2012-01-15 vs Auburn Tigers W 59 - 39
2012-01-19 vs Vanderbilt Commodores W 69 - 47
2012-01-22 @ LSU Tigers W 72 - 52
2012-01-26 @ Mississippi State Bulldogs W 51 - 35
2012-01-29 vs Florida Gators W 73 - 72
2012-02-02 vs Alabama Crimson Tide W 70 - 52
2012-02-09 vs South Carolina Gamecocks W 68 - 47
2012-02-12 @ Auburn Tigers W 51 - 48
2012-02-16 vs LSU Tigers L 42 - 50
2012-02-19 vs Mississippi State Bulldogs W 67 - 53
2012-02-23 @ Tennessee Lady Volunteers W 72 - 71
2012-02-26 @ South Carolina Gamecocks L 47 - 53
2012-03-01 vs Ole Miss Rebels W 67 - 47
2012-03-02 @ LSU Tigers L 40 - 41
2012-03-08 @ SIU Edwardsville Cougars W 75 - 37
2012-03-17 vs Dayton Flyers W 72 - 55
2012-03-19 @ Texas A&M Aggies L 59 - 61

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

Not enough player minute data to plot.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
K. Peak K. Peak F 1 0.0 12.0 7.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 14.0 70 24 2.9 8.7 75.0 0 0 1.75 75.0 75.0
C. Ricketts C. Ricketts NA 8 0.0 11.8 4.9 4.8 2.4 0.5 1.9 11.5 10.9 155 25 6.2 8.2 37.0 41.7 70.0 2.15 44.7 39.7
L. Harris L. Harris NA 7 0.0 11.7 2.4 1.7 1.0 0.0 1.3 8.7 6.9 121 24 5.0 8.4 39.3 35.6 90.0 2.21 58.7 52.5
A. Daniels A. Daniels NA 8 0.0 10.5 6.0 1.1 1.4 0.8 1.9 8.5 9.4 200 25 8.0 13.2 45.6 0.0 88.0 6.29 53.2 45.6
S. Watkins S. Watkins NA 8 0.0 8.9 2.5 0.1 0.6 2.4 1.4 9.8 3.4 124 25 5.0 7.9 35.9 8.3 73.7 1.88 41.1 36.5
D. Robinson D. Robinson NA 7 0.0 5.3 3.1 0.9 0.6 0.1 1.6 4.9 3.6 88 25 3.5 7.5 29.4 10.0 64.0 -2.28 41.1 30.9
M. Henderson M. Henderson G 1 0.0 3.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 7.0 122 25 4.9 8.3 0.0 0.0 75.0 1.63 54.3 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG