Arkansas Razorbacks
2012 Team Stats (8 games)
65.6
PPG
58.9
Opp
+6.8
Margin
41.0%
FG%
29.2%
3P%
73.0%
FT%
30.6
RPG
13.8
APG
0.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
64.3
Adj PPG
47.0
Adj Opp PPG
#25
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2011-2012
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1300 (#38) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1285 (#23) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1120 (#37) | HCA +78 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +18.4 (#29) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +22.1 (#11) | HCA +2.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.899 (#19) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.976 (#17) | AdjNet +31.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.977 (#17) | AdjNet +32.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.828 (#25) | AdjO 64.3 | AdjD 47.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.798 (#12) | AdjO 63.8 | AdjD 48.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.888 (#19) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.884 (#19) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1259 (#29) | RD 108 | GP 30 |
2012 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011-11-16 | vs | UT Arlington Mavericks | W | 57 - 34 |
| 2011-11-20 | vs | Utah Utes | W | 57 - 56 |
| 2011-11-25 | vs | Grambling Lady Tigers | W | 69 - 49 |
| 2011-12-03 | @ | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | W | 59 - 53 |
| 2011-12-06 | vs | Stephen F. Austin Ladyjacks | W | 61 - 46 |
| 2011-12-10 | vs | Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | W | 65 - 37 |
| 2011-12-19 | vs | Morgan State Lady Bears | W | 81 - 50 |
| 2011-12-21 | vs | Texas Southern Tigers | W | 86 - 41 |
| 2011-12-28 | vs | Mississippi Valley State Devilettes | W | 59 - 40 |
| 2012-01-01 | @ | Georgia Lady Bulldogs | L | 57 - 67 |
| 2012-01-05 | @ | Kentucky Wildcats | L | 72 - 84 |
| 2012-01-08 | vs | Tennessee Lady Volunteers | L | 38 - 69 |
| 2012-01-12 | @ | Ole Miss Rebels | L | 54 - 60 |
| 2012-01-15 | vs | Auburn Tigers | W | 59 - 39 |
| 2012-01-19 | vs | Vanderbilt Commodores | W | 69 - 47 |
| 2012-01-22 | @ | LSU Tigers | W | 72 - 52 |
| 2012-01-26 | @ | Mississippi State Bulldogs | W | 51 - 35 |
| 2012-01-29 | vs | Florida Gators | W | 73 - 72 |
| 2012-02-02 | vs | Alabama Crimson Tide | W | 70 - 52 |
| 2012-02-09 | vs | South Carolina Gamecocks | W | 68 - 47 |
| 2012-02-12 | @ | Auburn Tigers | W | 51 - 48 |
| 2012-02-16 | vs | LSU Tigers | L | 42 - 50 |
| 2012-02-19 | vs | Mississippi State Bulldogs | W | 67 - 53 |
| 2012-02-23 | @ | Tennessee Lady Volunteers | W | 72 - 71 |
| 2012-02-26 | @ | South Carolina Gamecocks | L | 47 - 53 |
| 2012-03-01 | vs | Ole Miss Rebels | W | 67 - 47 |
| 2012-03-02 | @ | LSU Tigers | L | 40 - 41 |
| 2012-03-08 | @ | SIU Edwardsville Cougars | W | 75 - 37 |
| 2012-03-17 | vs | Dayton Flyers | W | 72 - 55 |
| 2012-03-19 | @ | Texas A&M Aggies | L | 59 - 61 |
2012 Roster
Minutes by Position
Not enough player minute data to plot.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
K. Peak
|
F | 1 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 70 | 24 | 2.9 | 8.7 | 75.0 | 0 | 0 | 1.75 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
C. Ricketts
|
NA | 8 | 0.0 | 11.8 | 4.9 | 4.8 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 11.5 | 10.9 | 155 | 25 | 6.2 | 8.2 | 37.0 | 41.7 | 70.0 | 2.15 | 44.7 | 39.7 |
L. Harris
|
NA | 7 | 0.0 | 11.7 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 8.7 | 6.9 | 121 | 24 | 5.0 | 8.4 | 39.3 | 35.6 | 90.0 | 2.21 | 58.7 | 52.5 |
A. Daniels
|
NA | 8 | 0.0 | 10.5 | 6.0 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 8.5 | 9.4 | 200 | 25 | 8.0 | 13.2 | 45.6 | 0.0 | 88.0 | 6.29 | 53.2 | 45.6 |
S. Watkins
|
NA | 8 | 0.0 | 8.9 | 2.5 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 9.8 | 3.4 | 124 | 25 | 5.0 | 7.9 | 35.9 | 8.3 | 73.7 | 1.88 | 41.1 | 36.5 |
D. Robinson
|
NA | 7 | 0.0 | 5.3 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 4.9 | 3.6 | 88 | 25 | 3.5 | 7.5 | 29.4 | 10.0 | 64.0 | -2.28 | 41.1 | 30.9 |
M. Henderson
|
G | 1 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 122 | 25 | 4.9 | 8.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 1.63 | 54.3 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG