Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.7% | 83.3% | +9.6 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.9% | 82.1% | +8.4 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +12 (84-72). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Watkins | 0 | 0-13 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Ceira Ricketts | 0 | 7-13 | 2-2 | 5-8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 12 | - |
| M. Henderson | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Dominique Robinson | 0 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 7-14 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Ashley Daniels | 0 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 17 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kastine Evans | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| D. Milligan | 0 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Amber Smith | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Samarie Walker | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| A'dia Mathies | 0 | 8-18 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 13 | - |
* = starter