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Arizona

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Arizona Wildcats, Arizona
Program History
Coach: Sean Miller

2019 Team Stats (2 games)

82.5
PPG
74.0
Opp
+8.5
Margin
46.0%
FG%
26.5%
3P%
75.0%
FT%
40.5
RPG
16.5
APG
9.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
71.0
Adj PPG
64.4
Adj Opp PPG
#75
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt. More → Data withheld: source-integrity hold Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt.
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1079 (#117) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +83 elo More → 966 (#223) HCA +83 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +7.4 (#73) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More → +3.9 (#105) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.582 (#122) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +11.1 More → 0.782 (#75) AdjNet +11.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +11.2 More → 0.785 (#75) AdjNet +11.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.0 | AdjD 64.4 More → 0.647 (#75) AdjO 71.0 | AdjD 64.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 67.2 More → 0.517 (#158) AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 67.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.597 (#122) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.571 (#133) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 136 | GP 32 More → 1015 (#163) RD 136 | GP 32

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2018-11-07 vs Houston Christian Huskies W 90 - 60
2018-11-11 vs Cal Poly Mustangs W 82 - 61
2018-11-14 vs UTEP Miners W 79 - 46
2018-11-19 @ Iowa State Cyclones W 71 - 66
2018-11-20 @ Gonzaga Bulldogs L 74 - 91
2018-11-21 vs Auburn Tigers L 57 - 73
2018-11-29 vs Georgia Southern Eagles W 100 - 70
2018-12-02 @ UConn Huskies W 76 - 72
2018-12-06 vs Utah Valley Wolverines W 80 - 69
2018-12-09 @ Alabama Crimson Tide L 73 - 76
2018-12-15 vs Baylor Bears L 49 - 58
2018-12-19 vs Montana Grizzlies W 61 - 42
2018-12-22 vs UC Davis Aggies W 70 - 68
2019-01-03 vs Colorado Buffaloes W 64 - 56
2019-01-05 vs Utah Utes W 84 - 81
2019-01-09 @ Stanford Cardinal W 75 - 70
2019-01-12 @ California Golden Bears W 87 - 65
2019-01-17 vs Oregon Ducks L 54 - 59
2019-01-19 vs Oregon State Beavers W 82 - 71
2019-01-24 @ USC Trojans L 57 - 80
2019-01-26 @ UCLA Bruins L 69 - 90
2019-01-31 @ Arizona State Sun Devils L 88 - 95
2019-02-07 vs Washington Huskies L 60 - 67
2019-02-09 vs Washington State Cougars L 55 - 69
2019-02-14 @ Utah Utes L 76 - 83
2019-02-17 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 60 - 67
2019-02-21 vs California Golden Bears W 76 - 51
2019-02-24 vs Stanford Cardinal W 70 - 54
2019-02-28 @ Oregon State Beavers W 74 - 72
2019-03-02 @ Oregon Ducks L 47 - 73
2019-03-09 vs Arizona State Sun Devils L 64 - 72
2019-03-13 @ USC Trojans L 65 - 78

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Brandon Randolph Brandon Randolph G 29 28.9 12.3 3.3 1.0 0.6 0.3 1.3 2.4 13.8 46 28 1.6 2.3 40.0 8.7 76.5 -1.17 229.7 41.4
Ryan Luther Ryan Luther F 3 23.0 12.0 4.0 0.7 1.3 0.0 0.7 8.0 9.3 47 28 1.7 2.8 58.3 50.0 100.0 2.53 71.1 68.8
Brandon Williams Brandon Williams - 23 28.2 11.7 2.7 3.3 0.8 0.2 2.0 2.5 14.2 48 23 2.1 3.1 36.2 28.1 81.0 -0.09 175.2 44.0
Chase Jeter Chase Jeter C 27 24.4 10.0 6.5 0.7 0.5 0.6 1.3 1.2 15.8 94 26 3.6 6.0 56.2 0 63.0 3.7 308.8 56.2
Justin Coleman Justin Coleman G 3 29.3 9.3 1.3 3.0 0.7 0.0 1.3 7.3 5.7 65 28 2.3 3.1 50.0 38.5 50.0 2.45 61.2 61.4
Dylan Smith Dylan Smith G 29 24.6 7.4 3.6 1.1 0.6 0.3 1.7 1.4 10.0 -18 28 -0.6 -1.1 29.3 24.0 100.0 -1.8 242.6 36.6
Ira Lee Ira Lee F 28 18.6 6.8 4.2 0.5 0.2 0.8 1.2 0.7 10.5 -69 27 -2.6 -5.8 60.0 0 81.2 -2.43 351.3 60.0
Emmanuel Akot Emmanuel Akot - 14 19.4 3.8 2.4 1.3 0.3 0.1 1.0 1.0 5.8 79 14 5.6 11.9 21.4 0.0 42.9 3.25 155.2 21.4
Alex Barcello Alex Barcello G 27 9.9 3.5 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.7 4.3 -5 25 -0.2 -0.8 50.0 55.6 100.0 -0.76 251.6 63.9
Devonaire Doutrive Devonaire Doutrive G 24 11.2 3.5 3.1 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.7 0.5 6.7 -21 24 -0.9 -3.2 41.7 33.3 0 -2.58 345.8 45.8
Jake Desjardins Jake Desjardins F 6 3.2 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.3 -15 8 -1.9 -26.1 0 0 0 -3.56 0 0
Matt Weyand Matt Weyand F 3 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kory Jones Kory Jones G 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG