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Arizona Wildcats

Also known as: Arizona Wildcats
Program History

2026 Team Stats (27 games)

68.3
PPG
71.5
Opp
-3.2
Margin
43.6%
FG%
29.1%
3P%
76.0%
FT%
30.8
RPG
14.2
APG
16.7
TO
82.5
Pace
73.3
AdjO
66.9
AdjD
#101
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 877 (#260) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1008 (#171) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +113 elo More → 869 (#556) HCA +113 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +6.0 (#106) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +16.5 (#113) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.444 (#189) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +0.7 More → 0.521 (#169) NetEff +0.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +9.1 More → 0.741 (#105) AdjNet +9.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +9.2 More → 0.744 (#105) AdjNet +9.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.3 | AdjD 66.9 More → 0.641 (#101) AdjO 73.3 | AdjD 66.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.0 | AdjD 67.3 More → 0.471 (#278) AdjO 66.0 | AdjD 67.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.743 (#174) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.686 (#190) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 160 | GP 27 More → 929 (#289) RD 160 | GP 27

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-06 vs UC Riverside Highlanders W 62 - 59
2025-11-09 vs UC Irvine Anteaters W 75 - 61
2025-11-16 vs Grambling Lady Tigers W 85 - 64
2025-11-21 vs Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 87 - 76
2025-12-03 vs Southern Jaguars L 57 - 63
2025-12-07 vs New Mexico Lobos L 69 - 72
2025-12-15 vs Chicago State Cougars W 89 - 70
2025-12-18 vs Bellarmine Knights W 105 - 59
2025-12-22 vs Utah Utes L 62 - 63
2025-12-31 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 56 - 75
2026-01-03 @ Texas Tech Lady Raiders L 49 - 80
2026-01-06 vs BYU Cougars W 75 - 72
2026-01-10 vs UCF Knights L 55 - 58
2026-01-17 @ TCU Horned Frogs L 62 - 78
2026-01-20 vs Kansas Jayhawks L 69 - 80
2026-01-24 @ Iowa State Cyclones L 65 - 90
2026-01-28 @ Arizona State Sun Devils L 61 - 68
2026-02-01 vs Oklahoma State Cowgirls L 69 - 88
2026-02-04 vs Kansas State Wildcats W 72 - 62
2026-02-07 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 68 - 87
2026-02-10 @ Cincinnati Bearcats L 61 - 77
2026-02-14 vs Arizona State Sun Devils L 69 - 75
2026-02-17 vs Colorado Buffaloes L 70 - 78
2026-02-21 @ Baylor Bears L 60 - 74
2026-02-24 vs Houston Cougars W 75 - 67
2026-02-28 @ Utah Utes L 67 - 81
2026-03-04 @ Arizona State Sun Devils L 51 - 54

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
M. Perdue M. Perdue G 12 34.4 17.8 2.2 0.8 0.5 0.1 1.6 13.4 6.3 55 4.2 4.5 41.6 33.7 80.6 1.23 56.8 50.9
N. Cornfield N. Cornfield G 26 35.0 13.7 3.3 6.6 2.7 0.1 3.7 12.7 10.0 -36 -1.7 -2.2 40.2 15.8 82.5 -0.66 47.4 41.1
S. Sugapong S. Sugapong G 26 29.2 11.8 3.7 2.1 2.1 0.0 2.5 10.1 7.1 -56 -2.8 -4.7 38.2 35.5 86.1 0.29 51.7 45.6
T. Welch T. Welch G 25 26.6 9.3 5.4 1.2 1.0 0.1 1.5 7.4 8.0 -66 -3.3 -5.4 47.3 29.6 74.2 -1.13 54.2 49.5
D. Trammell D. Trammell F 27 20.3 7.4 2.1 0.4 0.7 0.4 1.6 6.4 2.9 26 1.3 2.3 48.9 0.0 70.7 1.87 51.8 48.9
N. Francois N. Francois F 26 22.8 5.9 4.7 1.7 1.6 0.6 2.1 4.8 7.5 -65 -3.2 -6.2 49.2 0.0 65.3 -0.71 52.9 49.2
K. Kitchen K. Kitchen G 19 17.5 4.2 1.7 1.2 0.8 0.1 1.3 4.0 2.7 -5 -0.3 -0.6 42.1 25.6 55.6 0.79 49.4 48.7
B. Adebanjo B. Adebanjo F 23 11.3 3.9 2.7 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.3 2.9 4.3 26 1.4 7.2 49.3 0 67.6 1.35 54.3 49.3
M. Ladwig M. Ladwig G 24 14.4 3.8 1.5 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.5 3.3 2.7 1 0.1 0.2 41.8 28.6 69.6 0.07 51.6 48.1
A. Magot A. Magot C 17 6.0 3.2 1.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 1.5 2.2 1.1 -15 -0.9 -5.7 57.9 0 64.7 -0.33 60.5 57.9
M. Jurado M. Jurado G 27 18.4 2.4 1.8 0.6 0.5 0.0 1.2 2.5 1.7 55 2.6 5.7 43.3 25.8 0.0 1.51 48.9 49.3
M. Dew M. Dew F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Fredriecka Wallace Fredriecka Wallace F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG