Model Predictions
| Model | Arizona Wildcats | Baylor Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.9% | 97.1% | +25.9 | ✓ (11.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.9% | 97.1% | +19.3 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Baylor Bears +14 (74-60). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Ladwig * | 33 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | +2.2 |
| Tanyuel Welch * | 27 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | +9.0 |
| Sumayah Sugapong * | 25 | 3-17 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -5 | -2.4 |
| Daniah Trammell * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | -15.1 |
| Mireia Jurado * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +6.1 |
| Noelani Cornfield | 33 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | +4.0 |
| Blessing Adebanjo | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | -3.9 |
| Nora Francois | 16 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +7.2 |
| Kamryn Kitchen | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 |
Baylor Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jana Van Gytenbeek * | 37 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | +5.2 |
| Taliah Scott * | 31 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 11-11 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 13 | +8.4 |
| Bella Fontleroy * | 28 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -2.7 |
| Kiersten Johnson * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | +3.4 |
| Darianna Littlepage-Buggs * | 20 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | +5.7 |
| Marcayla Johnson | 21 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | -9.1 |
| Kyla Abraham | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4.5 |
| Yuting Deng | 17 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | +6.3 |
| Kayla Nelms | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2.0 |
| Ella Brow | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.2 |
| Kiera Pemberton | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0.0 |
| Ines Goryanova | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
* = starter