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Arizona State

Also known as: Arizona State Sun Devils, Arizona State
Program History

2019 Team Stats (8 games)

74.3
PPG
-
Opp
-
Margin
41.4%
FG%
29.3%
3P%
72.9%
FT%
38.5
RPG
11.3
APG
12.9
TO
-
Est. poss./game
77.4
Adj PPG
69.1
Adj Opp PPG
#62
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt. More โ†’ Data withheld: source-integrity hold Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt.
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1178 (#52) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +83 elo More โ†’ 1079 (#61) HCA +83 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +9.1 (#58) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +8.1 (#65) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.656 (#81) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +13.6 More โ†’ 0.828 (#56) AdjNet +13.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +13.7 More โ†’ 0.830 (#56) AdjNet +13.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.4 | AdjD 69.1 More โ†’ 0.681 (#62) AdjO 77.4 | AdjD 69.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 70.5 More โ†’ 0.597 (#72) AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 70.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.718 (#62) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.703 (#64) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 109 | GP 34 More โ†’ 1169 (#59) RD 109 | GP 34

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2018-11-06 vs Cal State Fullerton Titans W 102 - 94
2018-11-09 vs McNeese Cowboys W 80 - 52
2018-11-12 vs Long Beach State Beach W 90 - 58
2018-11-16 @ San Francisco Dons - Postponed
2018-11-19 vs Mississippi State Bulldogs W 72 - 67
2018-11-21 @ Utah State Aggies W 87 - 82
2018-11-28 vs Omaha Mavericks W 89 - 71
2018-12-01 vs Texas Southern Tigers W 83 - 71
2018-12-07 vs Nevada Wolf Pack L 66 - 72
2018-12-15 @ Georgia Bulldogs W 76 - 74
2018-12-17 @ Vanderbilt Commodores L 65 - 81
2018-12-22 vs Kansas Jayhawks W 80 - 76
2018-12-29 vs Princeton Tigers L 66 - 67
2019-01-03 vs Utah Utes L 86 - 96
2019-01-05 vs Colorado Buffaloes W 83 - 61
2019-01-09 @ California Golden Bears W 80 - 66
2019-01-12 @ Stanford Cardinal L 71 - 85
2019-01-17 vs Oregon State Beavers W 70 - 67
2019-01-19 vs Oregon Ducks W 78 - 64
2019-01-24 @ UCLA Bruins W 84 - 73
2019-01-26 @ USC Trojans L 67 - 69
2019-01-31 vs Arizona Wildcats W 95 - 88
2019-02-07 vs Washington State Cougars L 70 - 91
2019-02-09 vs Washington Huskies W 75 - 63
2019-02-13 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 73 - 77
2019-02-16 @ Utah Utes W 98 - 87
2019-02-20 vs Stanford Cardinal W 80 - 62
2019-02-24 vs California Golden Bears W 69 - 59
2019-02-28 @ Oregon Ducks L 51 - 79
2019-03-03 @ Oregon State Beavers W 74 - 71
2019-03-09 @ Arizona Wildcats W 72 - 64
2019-03-14 vs UCLA Bruins W 83 - 72
2019-03-15 vs Oregon Ducks L 75 - 79
2019-03-20 vs St. John's Red Storm W 74 - 65
2019-03-22 @ Buffalo Bulls L 74 - 91

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Luguentz Dort Luguentz Dort - 10 32.6 14.4 4.3 2.0 1.2 0.1 2.5 13.1 6.4 142 32 4.4 6.0 32.8 34.8 75.0 1.58 46.3 38.9
Remy Martin Remy Martin G 29 33.0 13.5 3.2 4.9 1.2 0.0 2.2 5.9 14.8 102 30 3.4 4.5 34.7 25.0 71.6 1.67 98.3 39.1
Zylan Cheatham Zylan Cheatham F 31 32.4 12.3 10.4 3.2 0.8 0.8 3.0 4.0 20.4 170 32 5.3 7.1 52.0 44.4 62.2 3.02 118.0 53.6
Rob Edwards Rob Edwards G 25 28.7 10.9 3.4 1.2 1.0 0.2 1.2 5.2 10.2 41 26 1.6 2.3 31.5 37.5 90.0 -1.52 95.0 40.8
Kimani Lawrence Kimani Lawrence F 31 25.5 9.0 3.6 1.2 0.6 0.3 1.5 3.8 9.4 105 32 3.3 5.5 44.1 37.0 75.0 1.38 107.4 51.3
Romello White Romello White F 31 25.5 8.6 5.3 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.4 3.4 10.6 116 32 3.6 6.2 57.7 0 65.7 0.99 100.4 57.7
Taeshon Cherry Taeshon Cherry F 27 17.7 6.1 2.7 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.6 2.4 6.8 71 28 2.5 6.5 36.4 32.6 57.1 0.16 118.7 47.0
De'Quon Lake De'Quon Lake F 30 12.6 4.1 3.6 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.8 1.1 6.9 45 31 1.5 4.9 71.9 0 60.0 -0.02 149.5 71.9
Mickey Mitchell Mickey Mitchell F 6 8.8 2.0 2.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 1.0 0.5 4.3 6 5 1.2 5.8 100.0 100.0 0 -0.68 200.0 116.7
Elias Valtonen Elias Valtonen G 19 4.0 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 1.3 -18 19 -0.9 -10.3 100.0 100.0 100.0 -3.09 277.8 150.0
Vitaliy Shibel Vitaliy Shibel F 16 3.0 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.6 -11 15 -0.7 -9.2 0.0 0.0 0 -2.54 150.0 0.0
Grant Fogerty Grant Fogerty G 6 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 3 5 0.6 26.6 100.0 0 0 -0.53 100.0 100.0
Jordan Salzman Jordan Salzman G 6 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 3 5 0.6 24.5 0.0 0 100.0 -0.61 53.2 0.0
Trev Thompson Trev Thompson - 5 1.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 - - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Jack Roggin Jack Roggin - 2 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG