Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | Arizona State Sun Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.0% | 47.0% | -0.7 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona State Sun Devils -6 (66-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Martin * | 39 | 6-18 | 1-10 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | -1 | - |
| J. Caroline * | 37 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| C. Martin * | 37 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 10 | - |
| T. Thurman * | 24 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 17 | - |
| T. Porter * | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| J. Johnson | 31 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| J. Brown | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| C. Henson | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Arizona State Sun Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Dort * | 36 | 9-19 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 9 | - |
| Z. Cheatham * | 33 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 12 | - |
| T. Cherry * | 29 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| R. White * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Lawrence * | 11 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| R. Martin | 29 | 1-10 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| D. Lake | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| R. Edwards | 14 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Mitchell | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter