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Appalachian State

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Appalachian State Mountaineers
Program History
Coach: Jason Capel

2013 Team Stats (2 games)

63.5
PPG
61.5
Opp
+2.0
Margin
37.1%
FG%
29.4%
3P%
54.3%
FT%
42.5
RPG
11.0
APG
13.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
66.4
Adj PPG
72.6
Adj Opp PPG
#264
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 906 (#224) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 876 (#258) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More → 1005 (#168) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More → -6.8 (#265) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More → -4.7 (#239) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.415 (#208) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -9.7 More → 0.246 (#256) AdjNet -9.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -9.8 More → 0.244 (#256) AdjNet -9.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.4 | AdjD 72.6 More → 0.363 (#264) AdjO 66.4 | AdjD 72.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 68.7 More → 0.467 (#201) AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 68.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.370 (#236) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.391 (#227) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 148 | GP 29 More → 932 (#217) RD 148 | GP 29

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 vs Montreat College Cavaliers W 86 - 54
2012-11-13 vs High Point Panthers L 64 - 86
2012-11-16 @ Campbell Fighting Camels L 82 - 101
2012-11-20 @ East Carolina Pirates L 72 - 82
2012-11-23 @ Virginia Tech Hokies L 76 - 87
2012-11-28 vs Duquesne Dukes L 72 - 73
2012-12-01 @ Missouri Tigers L 56 - 72
2012-12-08 @ Western Carolina Catamounts L 64 - 70
2012-12-16 @ Kansas City Roos W 81 - 71
2012-12-19 @ South Carolina Gamecocks L 69 - 74
2012-12-22 vs Presbyterian Blue Hose W 78 - 70
2012-12-30 vs Milligan Buffaloes W 71 - 51
2013-01-08 @ Wofford Terriers W 50 - 49
2013-01-12 vs Elon Phoenix W 80 - 70
2013-01-14 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans W 83 - 70
2013-01-17 @ Chattanooga Mocs L 88 - 91
2013-01-19 @ Samford Bulldogs L 68 - 72
2013-01-24 vs Georgia Southern Eagles W 64 - 62
2013-01-26 vs Davidson Wildcats L 56 - 79
2013-01-30 @ Charleston Cougars L 59 - 72
2013-02-02 vs Western Carolina Catamounts W 74 - 65
2013-02-07 @ Georgia Southern Eagles W 91 - 86
2013-02-09 @ Davidson Wildcats L 52 - 87
2013-02-11 vs Furman Paladins W 72 - 66
2013-02-14 @ Elon Phoenix L 58 - 61
2013-02-17 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans W 76 - 68
2013-02-20 vs The Citadel Bulldogs L 77 - 80
2013-02-28 vs Samford Bulldogs W 70 - 67
2013-03-02 vs Chattanooga Mocs W 86 - 60
2013-03-09 vs Furman Paladins W 74 - 60
2013-03-10 @ Davidson Wildcats L 62 - 65

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Nathan Healy Nathan Healy F 31 35.0 14.5 7.7 1.4 1.9 1.5 1.6 2.5 22.7 1 23 0.0 0.1 49.4 41.2 85.7 2.14 273.5 53.8
Jay Canty Jay Canty F 31 31.7 14.3 6.2 3.0 1.0 0.5 2.5 2.3 20.1 -47 23 -2.0 -2.9 44.4 16.7 51.9 -1.77 263.5 45.1
Tevin Baskin Tevin Baskin F 31 20.3 9.9 4.1 0.3 0.9 1.1 0.9 1.2 14.1 -65 23 -2.8 -5.7 57.9 33.3 55.6 -3.81 334.3 59.2
Tab Hamilton Tab Hamilton G 31 28.8 9.2 2.1 1.1 0.7 0.1 1.1 1.8 10.4 -30 23 -1.3 -2.0 30.4 28.1 25.0 -1.01 247.6 38.4
Michael Neal Michael Neal G 23 30.9 8.8 3.2 3.6 1.1 0.3 3.6 1.5 12.0 25 19 1.3 1.9 35.3 33.3 90.0 0.58 264.3 45.6
Jamaal Trice Jamaal Trice G-F 31 23.8 7.0 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1 1.6 1.8 6.9 -44 23 -1.9 -3.5 35.1 41.7 53.3 -3.46 169.8 43.9
Michael Obacha Michael Obacha F 30 21.3 5.3 4.6 0.4 0.7 0.1 1.1 1.1 8.9 15 23 0.7 1.3 51.5 0 56.0 0.34 181.8 51.5
Chris Burgess Chris Burgess G 31 14.2 3.0 1.0 1.6 0.3 0.0 1.4 1.1 3.4 -17 22 -0.8 -2.6 28.6 27.3 83.3 -0.55 115.4 32.9
Frank Eaves Frank Eaves G 9 4.7 2.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.6 2.4 -1 6 -0.2 -4.5 20.0 33.3 50.0 -1.5 178.6 30.0
Rantavious Gilbert Rantavious Gilbert F 7 3.9 1.4 1.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 2.3 -9 5 -1.8 -38.9 0.0 0 100.0 -2.89 266.0 0.0
Brian Okam Brian Okam C 10 8.3 1.3 2.2 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.6 3.2 - - - - 33.3 0 20.0 -2.65 79.3 33.3
Tommy Spagnolo Tommy Spagnolo F 13 5.1 0.7 1.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 0.0 2.3 -1 8 -0.1 -1.3 0 0 0 -0.36 0 0
Bennett Rutherford Bennett Rutherford G 5 3.2 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 - - - - 0.0 0 0 -1.57 100.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG