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Appalachian State

Also known as: Appalachian State Mountaineers
Program History

2026-2027 Team Stats (2 games)

85.5
PPG
46.0
Opp
+39.5
Margin
49.2%
FG%
33.3%
3P%
62.9%
FT%
48.0
RPG
18.0
APG
11.0
TO
65.2
Est. poss./game
62.1
Adj PPG
64.2
Adj Opp PPG
#227
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 878 (returning production + recruiting): last season 981, returning -33, transfers -63, freshmen -7 More โ†’ 913 (#186) Preseason prior 878 (returning production + recruiting): last season 981, returning -33, transfers -63, freshmen -7
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +250 elo More โ†’ 939 (#211) HCA +250 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +250 elo More โ†’ 971 (#210) HCA +250 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +7.9 More โ†’ -3.7 (#214) HCA +7.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +7.9 More โ†’ -3.6 (#215) HCA +7.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.541 (#140) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +7.5 More โ†’ 0.485 (#157) AdjNet +7.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +7.4 More โ†’ 0.484 (#158) AdjNet +7.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.1 | AdjD 64.2 More โ†’ 0.418 (#227) AdjO 62.1 | AdjD 64.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.1 | AdjD 64.2 More โ†’ 0.442 (#228) AdjO 62.1 | AdjD 64.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.441 (#188) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.445 (#185) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 219 | GP 1 More โ†’ 946 (#193) RD 219 | GP 1
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Preseason prior only; more training games are needed for a forecast. More โ†’ 0.317 (#220) Preseason prior only; more training games are needed for a forecast.

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 vs Merrimack Warriors W 63 - 49
2026-11-04 vs Christendom Crusaders W 108 - 43
2026-11-09 @ Auburn Tigers - Preview
2026-11-13 @ Charlotte 49ers - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jaylen Colon Jaylen Colon G 2 25.5 11.5 4.5 3.5 1.0 0.0 1.0 10.5 9.0 16 1 16.0 16.9 38.1 36.8 0 0.21 54.8 54.8
Corbin Allen Corbin Allen G 1 14.0 11.0 6.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 14.0 - - - - 71.4 33.3 0 - 78.6 78.6
Bryan Chretien Bryan Chretien C 1 8.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 8.0 - - - - 83.3 0 0.0 - 77.6 83.3
Jonathan Moss Jonathan Moss G 1 19.0 10.0 3.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 9.0 - - - - 44.4 66.7 0 - 55.6 55.6
Ben Kopetzki Ben Kopetzki G 2 23.5 8.5 4.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 9.0 5.5 13 1 13.0 13.7 33.3 36.4 100.0 0.06 46.1 44.4
Da'Mori Lytch Da'Mori Lytch F 2 13.5 8.5 4.5 1.5 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 10.5 -6 1 -6.0 -25.4 87.5 100.0 100.0 -0.47 95.7 93.8
Mason Costello Mason Costello G 2 10.5 7.5 2.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.5 5.5 5.0 -4 1 -4.0 -28.7 45.5 28.6 100.0 -0.29 60.9 54.5
Ted Neal Ted Neal G 2 18.0 7.5 3.5 2.5 1.0 0.5 1.5 4.5 9.0 15 1 15.0 23.2 66.7 0.0 75.0 0.24 69.7 66.7
Eren Banks Eren Banks G 2 21.5 5.5 3.5 2.5 1.0 0.0 1.5 5.5 5.5 23 1 23.0 28.3 36.4 12.5 100.0 0.9 46.3 40.9
Rrezon Elezaj Rrezon Elezaj C 2 14.5 5.0 5.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 2.0 8.0 14 1 14.0 29.1 75.0 0.0 66.7 0.01 75.3 75.0
Chad Moodie Chad Moodie F 2 14.0 4.5 3.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.0 6.5 1 1 1.0 2.1 100.0 0 62.5 -2.02 81.5 100.0
Hermann Koffi Hermann Koffi G 2 8.5 3.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.5 2.5 -6 1 -6.0 -39.9 40.0 40.0 0.0 -1.74 47.5 60.0
Luke Ledford Luke Ledford G 1 7.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 - - - - 50.0 100.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Jackson Love Jackson Love G 1 7.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 - - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 150.0 150.0
KJ Vasser KJ Vasser G 1 12.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 - - - - 20.0 20.0 0 - 30.0 30.0
Grant Clayton Grant Clayton F 1 6.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 - - - - 33.3 0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Andrin Njock Andrin Njock F 2 10.0 2.0 1.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 2.5 4 1 4.0 23.6 66.7 0.0 0.0 -0.39 51.5 66.7
Cameron O'Kelley Cameron O'Kelley G 1 8.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 66.7 - 23.1 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Alumni in the Pros

Every program's alumni →

Former Appalachian State players in NBA 2026-2027, G League 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Appalachian State game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.

Active alumni

Player At School League Team GP MPG PPG RPG APG Last game Last 30 days
CJ Huntley 2020-25 G League Valley Suns 0 - - - - 11-06 11 pts, 10 reb, 2 ast Play-In 1 GP, 11.0 PPG, 10.0 RPG, 2.0 APG

Alumni around the leagues: recent games

Date Player League Team Opponent MIN PTS REB AST Box
2026-11-06 CJ Huntley G League Play-In Valley Suns @ San Diego Clippers 31 11 10 2 Box
2026-10-14 CJ Huntley NBA Preseason Phoenix Suns @ San Antonio Spurs 12 4 2 0 Box

2026-2027 Shot Zones

128 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Lytch20% Banks22% Kopetzki33% Colon33% Koffi33% Lytch100% Kopetzki25% Colon100% Colon44%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Clayton33% Neal29% Kopetzki67% Kopetzki67% Njock33% Koffi50% Banks31% Colon50% Kopetzki31%
Misses: who misses most here

Jaylen ColonBen KopetzkiDa'Mori LytchTed NealEren BanksHermann KoffiAndrin NjockGrant Clayton

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 25-31 80.6 50 Da'Mori Lytch 20% (10 pts) Bryan Chretien 16% (8 pts) Grant Clayton 33% (2 misses) Cameron O'Kelley 17% (1 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 9-16 56.2 18 Eren Banks 22% (4 pts) Ben Kopetzki 11% (2 pts) Ted Neal 29% (2 misses) Ben Kopetzki 14% (1 misses)
Mid-range left 3-6 50.0 6 Ben Kopetzki 33% (2 pts) Mason Costello 33% (2 pts) Ben Kopetzki 67% (2 misses) Jonathan Moss 33% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Mid-range right 3-6 50.0 6 Jaylen Colon 33% (2 pts) Jonathan Moss 33% (2 pts) Ben Kopetzki 67% (2 misses) Jonathan Moss 33% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 3-6 50.0 9 Hermann Koffi 33% (3 pts) Jackson Love 33% (3 pts) Andrin Njock 33% (1 misses) KJ Vasser 33% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 1-3 33.3 3 Da'Mori Lytch 100% (3 pts) - Hermann Koffi 50% (1 misses) KJ Vasser 50% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 8-21 38.1 24 Ben Kopetzki 25% (6 pts) Mason Costello 25% (6 pts) Eren Banks 31% (4 misses) Ben Kopetzki 15% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 center 2-14 14.3 6 Jaylen Colon 100% (6 pts) - Jaylen Colon 50% (6 misses) Eren Banks 25% (3 misses)
Above-break 3 right 9-25 36.0 27 Jaylen Colon 44% (12 pts) Ben Kopetzki 22% (6 pts) Ben Kopetzki 31% (5 misses) Jaylen Colon 25% (4 misses)