๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

American University

Also known as: American University Eagles
Program History

2012 Team Stats (1 games)

55.0
PPG
81.0
Opp
-26.0
Margin
40.7%
FG%
26.1%
3P%
62.5%
FT%
23.0
RPG
12.0
APG
15.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
61.7
Adj PPG
62.6
Adj Opp PPG
#179
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 967 (#183) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1054 (#133) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More โ†’ 1033 (#122) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -1.3 (#186) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -0.8 (#182) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.594 (#117) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -2.2 More โ†’ 0.436 (#184) AdjNet -2.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -2.3 More โ†’ 0.434 (#184) AdjNet -2.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.7 | AdjD 62.6 More โ†’ 0.480 (#179) AdjO 61.7 | AdjD 62.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.9 | AdjD 61.5 More โ†’ 0.510 (#156) AdjO 61.9 | AdjD 61.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.491 (#171) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.497 (#168) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 124 | GP 30 More โ†’ 1022 (#156) RD 124 | GP 30

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 @ Richmond Spiders L 56 - 66
2011-11-14 @ Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks L 62 - 64
2011-11-16 vs Florida Atlantic Owls W 62 - 56
2011-11-19 @ Columbia Lions W 66 - 58
2011-11-22 vs Quinnipiac Bobcats W 74 - 73
2011-11-27 @ Cornell Big Red W 65 - 63
2011-11-29 vs Howard Bison W 77 - 66
2011-12-01 vs UMBC Retrievers W 69 - 58
2011-12-04 vs Saint Joseph's Hawks W 66 - 60
2011-12-07 vs Hampton Pirates W 74 - 72
2011-12-10 @ St. Francis (PA) Red Flash L 61 - 66
2011-12-17 @ Georgetown Hoyas L 55 - 81
2011-12-22 @ Villanova Wildcats L 52 - 73
2011-12-29 @ Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers L 42 - 49
2012-01-02 @ Brown Bears W 70 - 61
2012-01-07 vs Colgate Raiders W 82 - 54
2012-01-11 @ Lehigh Mountain Hawks L 60 - 71
2012-01-14 vs Holy Cross Crusaders W 67 - 54
2012-01-18 @ Navy Midshipmen W 67 - 60
2012-01-25 @ Bucknell Bison L 61 - 67
2012-01-28 @ Lafayette Leopards W 69 - 61
2012-02-04 @ Colgate Raiders W 59 - 58
2012-02-09 vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks W 71 - 62
2012-02-15 vs Navy Midshipmen W 69 - 47
2012-02-18 @ Army Black Knights W 74 - 50
2012-02-23 vs Bucknell Bison L 50 - 55
2012-02-25 vs Lafayette Leopards W 76 - 69
2012-02-29 vs Army Black Knights W 57 - 40
2012-03-03 @ Lehigh Mountain Hawks L 66 - 85
2012-03-14 vs Buffalo Bulls L 61 - 78

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Charles Hinkle Charles Hinkle F 30 34.3 18.9 5.3 1.8 0.9 0.4 2.1 4.0 21.2 98 30 3.3 4.1 42.0 44.2 88.1 0.75 195.9 51.7
Troy Brewer Troy Brewer G 26 31.5 11.6 3.3 1.6 0.8 0.2 1.3 2.1 14.2 71 26 2.7 3.8 49.1 51.9 86.7 -1.91 244.3 61.8
Daniel Munoz Daniel Munoz G 30 32.0 8.2 2.7 4.2 1.0 0.1 2.1 1.7 12.4 160 30 5.3 7.2 42.3 38.9 81.5 4.31 192.5 49.0
Blake Jolivette Blake Jolivette G 30 23.8 7.5 2.6 1.7 0.5 0.0 1.7 1.9 8.6 51 30 1.7 3.1 39.7 46.7 80.0 1.42 167.7 45.7
Tony Wroblicky Tony Wroblicky C 30 18.5 6.4 6.0 0.2 0.3 1.6 0.8 1.8 12.0 78 30 2.6 6.0 48.1 0 41.7 -0.74 161.9 48.1
Riley Grafft Riley Grafft F 28 16.6 4.1 3.9 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 7.7 0 28 0.0 0.0 78.3 100.0 80.0 -3.44 194.3 80.4
Simon McCormack Simon McCormack G 30 14.6 3.4 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.8 0.7 5.4 -23 30 -0.8 -2.1 61.9 0 16.7 -3.46 217.9 61.9
Mike Bersch Mike Bersch F 10 6.7 3.2 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.7 4.1 -10 11 -0.9 -5.6 14.3 14.3 0 -2.88 228.6 21.4
John Schoof John Schoof G 29 17.4 3.0 1.8 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.7 1.4 4.0 55 29 1.9 4.7 24.4 22.2 100.0 -0.28 102.7 31.7
Daniel Fisher Daniel Fisher F 26 6.9 1.1 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 0.4 1.4 -30 25 -1.2 -7.3 27.3 0 50.0 -4.21 113.6 27.3
Joe Hill Joe Hill G 21 4.3 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.2 1.1 -11 19 -0.6 -5.5 20.0 20.0 0 -1.07 180.0 30.0
Wayne Simon Wayne Simon G 24 7.4 0.9 1.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.5 -67 24 -2.8 -16.9 36.4 0.0 25.0 -5.25 82.3 36.4
Kyle Kager Kyle Kager F 9 1.8 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 6 9 0.7 12.8 33.3 0 0 0.34 66.7 33.3
Warren Flood Warren Flood G 5 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 -1 7 -0.1 -7.0 0 0 50.0 -0.6 56.8 0
Jordan Borucki Jordan Borucki C 5 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2 5 -0.4 -12.7 0 0 0 -1.08 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG