Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.5% | 28.5% | -7.2 | ✗ (12.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.4% | 18.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 77.5% | 22.5% | -6.8 | ✗ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.3% | 24.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.1% | 11.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.2% | 11.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Saint Francis Red Wolves +5 (66-61). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Brewer * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 24 | - |
| Daniel Munoz * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 21 | - |
| Charles Hinkle * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 12 | - |
| John Schoof * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tony Wroblicky * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Simon McCormack | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Blake Jolivette | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Daniel Fisher | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Riley Grafft | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Joe Hill | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ollie Jackson * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Kam Ritter * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Scott Eatherton * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 30 | - |
| Stephon Whyatt * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Earl Brown * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Anthony Ervin | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Jon Taylor | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Tony Peters | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Storm Stanley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter