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Alcorn State

Also known as: Alcorn State Braves
Program History

2019 Team Stats (4 games)

58.3
PPG
-
Opp
-
Margin
38.6%
FG%
29.5%
3P%
64.7%
FT%
31.5
RPG
9.8
APG
17.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
56.9
Adj PPG
75.1
Adj Opp PPG
#349
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt. More โ†’ Data withheld: source-integrity hold Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt.
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 714 (#336) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +83 elo More โ†’ 909 (#308) HCA +83 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ -19.5 (#349) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ -17.7 (#347) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.094 (#345) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -29.0 More โ†’ 0.034 (#350) AdjNet -29.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -29.3 More โ†’ 0.033 (#350) AdjNet -29.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 56.9 | AdjD 75.1 More โ†’ 0.160 (#349) AdjO 56.9 | AdjD 75.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.9 | AdjD 73.3 More โ†’ 0.261 (#346) AdjO 61.9 | AdjD 73.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.125 (#345) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.139 (#345) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 143 | GP 27 More โ†’ 673 (#340) RD 143 | GP 27

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2018-11-06 @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane L 56 - 73
2018-11-09 vs Blue Mountain Christian Toppers W 79 - 55
2018-11-16 @ Vanderbilt Commodores L 54 - 79
2018-11-18 @ Kent State Golden Flashes L 48 - 79
2018-11-23 @ Liberty Flames L 54 - 76
2018-11-24 vs Savannah State Tigers L 75 - 80
2018-11-26 @ Mississippi State Bulldogs L 65 - 88
2018-12-01 vs Rust Bearcats W 103 - 66
2018-12-08 vs Champion Christian Tigers W 109 - 45
2018-12-09 vs Fisk Bulldogs W 75 - 45
2018-12-18 @ UAB Blazers L 49 - 76
2018-12-21 @ South Florida Bulls L 44 - 83
2019-01-05 vs Texas Southern Tigers L 70 - 87
2019-01-07 vs Prairie View A&M Panthers L 54 - 57
2019-01-12 @ Jackson State Tigers L 52 - 59
2019-01-14 @ Grambling Tigers L 42 - 77
2019-01-19 vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils W 63 - 57
2019-01-21 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions W 74 - 69
2019-01-26 @ Alabama State Hornets L 59 - 74
2019-01-28 @ Alabama A&M Bulldogs L 62 - 71
2019-02-02 vs Southern Jaguars W 76 - 64
2019-02-09 vs Jackson State Tigers W 66 - 52
2019-02-11 vs Grambling Tigers L 53 - 65
2019-02-16 @ Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils L 68 - 76
2019-02-18 @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions L 62 - 73
2019-02-23 vs Alabama State Hornets W 74 - 69
2019-02-25 vs Alabama A&M Bulldogs W 61 - 55
2019-03-02 @ Southern Jaguars L 46 - 61
2019-03-07 @ Texas Southern Tigers L 72 - 99
2019-03-09 @ Prairie View A&M Panthers L 64 - 98
2019-03-12 @ Prairie View A&M Panthers L 66 - 86

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Maurice Howard Maurice Howard G 26 36.3 13.2 3.2 3.6 1.2 0.0 3.5 3.2 14.4 -219 19 -11.5 -14.5 41.0 43.3 90.0 -3.57 196.2 56.6
Jonathan Floyd Jonathan Floyd - 2 30.5 11.5 3.5 3.0 2.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 19.5 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Reginald Johnson Reginald Johnson F 25 21.0 11.1 3.4 0.9 0.5 0.1 1.1 2.6 12.3 -69 18 -3.8 -8.2 36.9 28.6 73.1 0.75 181.8 41.5
Troymain Crosby Troymain Crosby G 23 27.6 11.0 5.1 3.0 1.2 0.4 3.3 2.3 15.0 -130 17 -7.6 -12.8 45.3 37.5 78.3 -3.49 199.6 48.1
DeShaw Andrews DeShaw Andrews F 26 18.9 8.7 4.3 0.9 1.4 0.1 1.5 2.3 11.7 -156 19 -8.2 -20.6 40.7 23.8 52.4 -3.7 166.3 44.9
K. Allen K. Allen G 23 23.1 6.1 1.7 1.1 0.4 0.1 2.0 2.0 5.5 -174 17 -10.2 -21.0 26.7 21.4 70.0 -3.73 142.7 33.3
Devon Brewer Devon Brewer F 25 21.0 5.2 4.5 0.8 0.5 1.0 1.2 1.0 9.8 -131 19 -6.9 -15.8 40.0 0.0 35.7 -2.64 208.6 40.0
Jael Scott Jael Scott G 24 24.1 4.6 3.3 1.9 0.9 0.3 1.7 1.4 7.9 -92 17 -5.4 -9.6 52.9 20.0 83.3 0.24 150.1 54.4
Alonzo Campbell Alonzo Campbell C 20 11.6 2.9 1.6 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.3 4.3 -11 16 -0.7 -2.6 33.3 0.0 0 0.86 483.3 33.3
David Robinson David Robinson G 5 7.0 2.2 1.0 0.6 0.8 0.0 0.6 0.2 3.8 - - - - 0.0 0 100.0 0.27 292.6 0.0
Harold Givens Harold Givens F 14 10.7 1.6 1.9 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.5 3.9 -59 11 -5.4 -23.6 85.7 0 0.0 -3.98 138.2 85.7
Kobe Wilson Kobe Wilson F 24 14.7 1.6 3.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.9 0.5 5.6 -93 18 -5.2 -17.8 50.0 16.7 44.4 -5.36 122.2 54.2
Noah Plain Noah Plain F 14 5.6 1.6 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.7 -33 10 -3.3 -25.3 57.1 0.0 100.0 -0.89 145.9 57.1
TyQuayion Smith TyQuayion Smith F 15 5.8 0.3 1.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.7 -36 11 -3.3 -30.1 0.0 0 50.0 -2.67 133.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG