Model Predictions
| Model | Alcorn State Braves | Grambling Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.0% | 94.0% | +15.1 | ✓ (19.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.4% | 96.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Grambling Tigers +35 (77-42). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alcorn State Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troymain Crosby * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Maurice Howard * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Reginald Johnson * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| DeShaw Andrews * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Devon Brewer * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jael Scott | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Kobe Wilson | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - |
| Harold Givens | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Alonzo Campbell | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| TyQuayion Smith | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Noah Plain | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Grambling Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Polk-Hilliard * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 27 | - |
| Devante Jackson * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Ivy Smith * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 17 | - |
| Anthony Gaston * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Axel Mpoyo * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Lasani Johnson | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Travon Bunch | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Nigel Ribeiro | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | - |
| Prince Moss | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Zavier Peart | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter