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Alcorn State

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Alcorn State Braves
Program History
Coach: Montez Robinson

2018 Team Stats (2 games)

66.0
PPG
79.5
Opp
-13.5
Margin
46.7%
FG%
30.6%
3P%
52.5%
FT%
34.0
RPG
12.0
APG
17.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
63.7
Adj PPG
78.3
Adj Opp PPG
#338
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 640 (#335) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 728 (#334) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 922 (#282) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → -15.6 (#338) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → -13.4 (#334) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.181 (#326) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -22.5 More → 0.069 (#338) AdjNet -22.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -22.6 More → 0.068 (#339) AdjNet -22.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.7 | AdjD 78.3 More → 0.209 (#338) AdjO 63.7 | AdjD 78.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.7 | AdjD 74.8 More → 0.343 (#314) AdjO 67.7 | AdjD 74.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.172 (#335) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.192 (#332) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 139 | GP 28 More → 682 (#339) RD 139 | GP 28

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-10 @ LSU Tigers L 59 - 99
2017-11-12 @ Creighton Bluejays L 72 - 109
2017-11-13 @ Northern Iowa Panthers L 45 - 73
2017-11-17 @ Baylor Bears L 61 - 78
2017-11-19 @ Central Arkansas Bears L 76 - 102
2017-11-22 vs Yale Bulldogs L 73 - 87
2017-11-25 vs Concordia College (AL) Clippers W 103 - 56
2017-11-29 @ Tulane Green Wave L 65 - 81
2017-12-01 vs Rust Bearcats W 89 - 50
2017-12-10 @ Iowa State Cyclones L 58 - 78
2017-12-12 vs Fisk Bulldogs W 77 - 69
2017-12-18 vs Blue Mountain Christian Toppers W 83 - 56
2017-12-22 @ Vanderbilt Commodores L 51 - 92
2018-01-01 @ Prairie View A&M Panthers L 64 - 76
2018-01-03 @ Texas Southern Tigers L 70 - 85
2018-01-06 vs Jackson State Tigers L 55 - 60
2018-01-08 vs Grambling Tigers L 61 - 72
2018-01-13 @ Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils W 77 - 63
2018-01-15 @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions L 59 - 71
2018-01-20 vs Alabama A&M Bulldogs W 68 - 52
2018-01-22 vs Alabama State Hornets W 81 - 64
2018-01-27 @ Southern Jaguars L 48 - 61
2018-02-03 @ Jackson State Tigers L 57 - 60
2018-02-05 @ Grambling Tigers L 72 - 81
2018-02-10 vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils W 94 - 90
2018-02-12 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions W 84 - 52
2018-02-17 @ Alabama A&M Bulldogs W 80 - 60
2018-02-19 @ Alabama State Hornets L 62 - 82
2018-02-24 vs Southern Jaguars W 89 - 85
2018-03-01 vs Prairie View A&M Panthers L 69 - 79
2018-03-03 vs Texas Southern Tigers L 71 - 78
2018-03-06 @ Prairie View A&M Panthers L 71 - 87

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
A.J. Mosby A.J. Mosby G 27 32.0 15.5 4.8 3.8 1.4 0.1 1.9 3.8 19.9 -135 17 -7.9 -10.9 50.0 39.5 85.7 -4.41 188.3 57.4
Reginald Johnson Reginald Johnson F 7 22.6 12.0 4.6 1.3 0.7 0.1 1.1 3.4 14.1 - - - - 50.0 44.4 57.1 0.89 155.1 58.3
Dante Sterling Dante Sterling F 27 27.5 12.0 3.4 1.5 1.0 0.1 2.3 3.3 12.5 -35 17 -2.1 -3.2 47.8 42.2 80.6 1.87 153.5 58.3
Maurice Howard Maurice Howard G 27 28.1 10.8 2.3 2.1 0.9 0.0 1.8 3.3 11.0 -106 17 -6.2 -9.4 37.8 33.3 69.2 -0.72 152.5 49.4
Troymain Crosby Troymain Crosby G 27 20.0 7.6 4.4 0.6 0.7 0.2 2.1 2.4 9.0 -70 16 -4.4 -9.0 41.5 0.0 62.5 -1.95 136.3 41.5
Yalen Reed Yalen Reed F 24 21.3 6.1 5.0 1.0 0.2 1.1 1.2 1.9 10.3 -110 15 -7.3 -16.2 71.1 20.0 66.7 -5.36 142.4 72.2
Avery Patterson Avery Patterson G 21 19.9 5.8 2.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 1.9 1.2 7.3 -55 13 -4.2 -9.2 38.5 33.3 75.0 -1.09 183.1 46.2
Devon Brewer Devon Brewer F 26 23.1 5.7 4.2 0.8 0.2 0.7 1.6 1.3 8.8 -39 17 -2.3 -4.4 50.0 0 42.9 -0.06 172.3 50.0
K. Allen K. Allen G 4 17.8 4.0 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 1.8 1.5 2.8 - - - - 33.3 0.0 100.0 - 124.2 33.3
Tyler Carter Tyler Carter F 27 15.8 3.6 3.6 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.9 0.7 6.9 -45 16 -2.8 -8.1 45.0 50.0 57.1 -2.07 212.3 47.5
Juwan Henderson Juwan Henderson G 5 9.0 2.2 0.8 1.8 0.6 0.0 1.2 1.0 3.2 - - - - 60.0 33.3 66.7 -4.8 87.0 70.0
James Stokes James Stokes G 9 4.7 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.1 1.0 1.3 - - - - 55.6 0 0.0 0.07 48.4 55.6
Kobe Wilson Kobe Wilson F 23 7.0 1.0 1.7 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 2.6 -17 14 -1.2 -6.6 36.4 50.0 50.0 -1.2 71.4 45.5
TyQuayion Smith TyQuayion Smith F 17 5.0 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.1 1.6 -27 9 -3.0 -34.8 100.0 0 0 -4.24 700.0 100.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG