Model Predictions
| Model | Alcorn State Braves | Grambling Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.7% | 82.3% | +8.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Grambling Tigers +9 (81-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alcorn State Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Mosby * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 43 | - |
| Dante Sterling * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Devon Brewer * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Yalen Reed * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Avery Patterson * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Maurice Howard | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Troymain Crosby | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Tyler Carter | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Kobe Wilson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
| TyQuayion Smith | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Grambling Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivy Smith * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 35 | - |
| Devante Jackson * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 24 | - |
| Shirmane Thomas * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 24 | - |
| Anthony Gaston * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jason Perry-Murray * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Axel Mpoyo | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Nigel Ribeiro | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Drake Wilks | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Bobby Jackson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter