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Alcorn State

Also known as: Alcorn State Braves
Program History

2013 Team Stats (2 games)

42.0
PPG
57.0
Opp
-15.0
Margin
33.7%
FG%
18.9%
3P%
51.7%
FT%
29.5
RPG
8.0
APG
17.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
55.2
Adj PPG
66.7
Adj Opp PPG
#322
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 588 (#337) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 765 (#318) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More โ†’ 904 (#299) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ -12.3 (#322) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -12.2 (#325) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.212 (#304) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -20.0 More โ†’ 0.091 (#324) AdjNet -20.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -20.2 More โ†’ 0.089 (#324) AdjNet -20.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 55.2 | AdjD 66.7 More โ†’ 0.261 (#322) AdjO 55.2 | AdjD 66.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.1 | AdjD 67.2 More โ†’ 0.345 (#311) AdjO 60.1 | AdjD 67.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.191 (#324) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.204 (#322) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 140 | GP 32 More โ†’ 721 (#328) RD 140 | GP 32

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-11 vs Oakwood Ambassadors W 85 - 41
2012-11-13 @ Missouri Tigers L 54 - 91
2012-11-15 @ Stanford Cardinal L 51 - 69
2012-11-19 vs Fort Valley State Wildcats L 78 - 86
2012-11-21 @ Florida Gulf Coast Eagles L 48 - 50
2012-11-22 @ Samford Bulldogs W 69 - 65
2012-11-27 @ Mississippi State Bulldogs L 42 - 60
2012-12-01 vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks L 52 - 56
2012-12-15 @ Arkansas Razorbacks L 59 - 97
2012-12-17 @ Temple Owls L 46 - 63
2012-12-19 vs Detroit Mercy Titans L 58 - 74
2012-12-21 @ Santa Clara Broncos L 58 - 70
2012-12-22 vs SMU Mustangs L 52 - 67
2012-12-27 @ Canisius Golden Griffins L 74 - 87
2012-12-29 @ Syracuse Orange L 36 - 57
2013-01-02 vs Prairie View A&M Panthers W 68 - 54
2013-01-04 vs Texas Southern Tigers L 48 - 57
2013-01-06 @ Jackson State Tigers W 51 - 48
2013-01-08 @ Grambling Tigers W 80 - 46
2013-01-12 vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils W 72 - 67
2013-01-14 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions L 52 - 62
2013-01-19 @ Alabama A&M Bulldogs W 69 - 59
2013-01-21 @ Alabama State Hornets L 46 - 49
2013-01-26 vs Southern Jaguars W 61 - 57
2013-02-02 vs Jackson State Tigers L 71 - 84
2013-02-04 vs Grambling Tigers W 78 - 53
2013-02-09 @ Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils L 75 - 80
2013-02-11 @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions L 52 - 80
2013-02-16 vs Alabama A&M Bulldogs L 65 - 72
2013-02-18 vs Alabama State Hornets L 58 - 66
2013-02-23 @ Southern Jaguars L 48 - 61
2013-02-28 @ Prairie View A&M Panthers W 81 - 75
2013-03-02 @ Texas Southern Tigers L 59 - 78
2013-03-14 vs Prairie View A&M Panthers L 59 - 67

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Marquis Baker Marquis Baker G 23 35.1 16.1 3.7 1.7 1.4 0.2 2.4 8.1 12.7 1 13 0.1 0.1 27.4 23.1 73.3 1.47 87.3 34.7
LeAntwan Luckett LeAntwan Luckett G 34 32.9 13.4 4.0 2.4 1.0 0.2 2.9 6.1 12.0 -23 17 -1.4 -2.0 37.9 22.5 63.6 1.33 91.0 40.0
Anthony Nieves Anthony Nieves G 34 28.9 11.6 3.3 1.7 0.8 0.2 3.4 5.6 8.6 -67 17 -3.9 -6.6 38.7 38.5 69.6 -2.34 91.6 46.6
Anthony Evans Anthony Evans G 32 20.8 5.4 2.1 1.3 1.1 0.0 1.3 3.5 5.0 1 15 0.1 0.2 29.2 20.8 66.7 2.61 71.9 34.1
Devonte Hampton Devonte Hampton G 25 20.6 5.4 2.8 0.8 0.9 0.2 1.0 2.5 6.6 16 9 1.8 3.6 38.7 41.7 42.9 -1.71 98.3 46.8
Ian Francis Ian Francis F 30 21.4 4.4 5.1 0.7 1.1 0.6 1.2 2.4 8.3 -29 16 -1.8 -4.4 42.5 0.0 53.8 -1.66 73.2 42.5
Tyrel Hunt Tyrel Hunt F 14 15.1 4.1 2.0 0.7 0.4 0.4 1.1 2.6 4.0 -47 7 -6.7 -21.2 50.0 0.0 37.5 -1.32 66.2 50.0
Michael Starks Michael Starks F 32 17.0 3.2 3.3 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.8 1.4 5.5 -53 16 -3.3 -9.6 51.1 0 63.6 -3.66 92.4 51.1
Josh Nicholas Josh Nicholas F 33 14.3 3.2 3.8 0.2 0.2 1.1 0.8 1.2 6.4 -53 16 -3.3 -10.9 60.0 0.0 52.9 -4.04 110.6 60.0
Terrance Birdie Terrance Birdie G 14 8.4 2.1 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.6 0.6 2.3 -13 9 -1.4 -7.7 33.3 0.0 0 -1.42 161.1 33.3
Larry Johnson Larry Johnson G 1 6.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 - - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Stephane Raquil Stephane Raquil F 31 11.1 1.5 1.8 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.6 2.7 -50 17 -2.9 -14.0 55.0 0 50.0 -5.11 105.7 55.0
Jamaal Hester Jamaal Hester F 28 6.4 1.1 1.5 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 2.1 -4 15 -0.3 -1.7 60.0 0 66.7 -0.36 98.0 60.0
Martrevious Sanders Martrevious Sanders G 5 8.4 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.2 1.4 0.0 - - - - 28.6 0 0 0.52 28.6 28.6
Marius Myles Marius Myles F 22 6.9 0.7 1.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 1.5 -11 11 -1.0 -6.6 28.6 0 50.0 -2.96 101.5 28.6
Clint Nwosuh Clint Nwosuh - 9 4.3 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.4 - - - - 25.0 100.0 50.0 - 43.4 37.5

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG