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2013-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Alcorn State Braves Grambling Tigers Spread Result
Elo 66.4% 33.6% -5.0 โœ“ (29.0 off)
Bradley-Terry 79.1% 20.9% - โœ“
Margin 96.2% 3.8% -17.8 โœ“ (16.2 off)
Pythagorean 93.8% 6.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 96.2% 3.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 96.2% 3.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 82.4% 17.6% - โœ“

Actual: Grambling Tigers -34 (46-80). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.

Alcorn State Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Leantwan Luckett 36 6-8 1-1 1-2 3 5 1 0 3 14 12 -
Marquiz Baker 34 6-13 5-10 0-0 4 3 0 0 2 17 9 -
Anthony Nieves 34 5-11 3-6 5-6 4 4 0 0 0 18 15 -
Ian Francis 22 2-4 0-0 2-2 3 0 2 0 0 6 7 -
Michael Starks 21 2-4 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 2 0 5 9 -
Stephan Raquil 15 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 1 0 6 7 -
Josh Nicholas 13 1-2 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 2 1 4 7 -
Anthony Evans 8 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
Devonte Hampton 7 2-3 1-1 0-1 2 2 1 0 0 5 7 -
Terrance Birdie 4 0-1 0-1 0-2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
Jamaal Hester 3 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
Clint Nwosuh 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Grambling Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terry Rose 38 6-12 4-6 3-4 2 1 0 0 1 19 9 -
David Copeland 33 2-6 0-1 0-1 4 4 0 0 1 4 5 -
Bryant Purvis 32 2-7 1-2 0-0 9 0 2 0 3 5 6 -
Demetri Wheeler 31 1-3 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 0 2 3 5 -
Steven Danridge 17 2-7 0-0 0-2 7 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
Brauhnye' Turner 14 2-5 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 2 6 3 -
Brandon Dorsett 13 0-5 0-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 0 -4 -
Roman Higgins 12 1-6 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -5 -
Carl Cobbins 10 1-8 0-2 1-4 3 0 1 0 0 3 -1 -

* = starter