๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2013-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Alabama State Hornets Alcorn State Braves Spread Result
Elo 38.7% 61.3% +2.4 โœ— (10.4 off)
Bradley-Terry 41.3% 58.7% - โœ—
Margin 23.5% 76.5% +6.5 โœ— (14.5 off)
Pythagorean 42.3% 57.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 30.9% 69.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 30.1% 69.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 36.5% 63.5% - โœ—

Actual: Alcorn State Braves -8 (58-66). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.

Alabama State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jamel Waters 35 5-8 0-0 3-5 3 0 2 0 2 13 8 -
Luther Page 33 3-4 0-0 3-6 6 1 0 0 0 9 12 -
Phillip Crawford 31 5-9 0-1 4-6 9 1 0 0 0 14 15 -
Joshua Freelove 31 6-10 4-6 3-3 4 1 0 1 0 19 15 -
Denzell McDaniel 30 1-5 1-2 0-2 6 3 0 1 3 3 5 -
Ryan Watts 14 0-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
Shawntez Patterson 11 2-4 1-2 1-2 2 0 1 0 2 6 3 -
Bobby Brown 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
Jonathan Jefferson 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Alcorn State Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marquiz Baker 35 5-16 1-10 4-5 1 1 0 0 1 15 0 -
Anthony Nieves 31 2-10 1-6 0-0 6 2 0 0 3 5 0 -
Leantwan Luckett 26 5-9 0-1 4-8 5 4 3 0 2 14 15 -
Ian Francis 24 1-4 0-0 6-8 2 1 4 0 1 8 10 -
Devonte Hampton 18 2-7 2-5 2-5 1 0 1 1 0 8 4 -
Michael Starks 18 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 -
Stephan Raquil 16 2-5 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 0 4 7 -
Josh Nicholas 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Anthony Evans 11 1-3 0-2 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Marius Myles 5 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
Jamaal Hester 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter