Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | Alcorn State Braves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.7% | 61.3% | +2.4 | โ (10.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | โ |
| Margin | 23.5% | 76.5% | +6.5 | โ (14.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | โ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | โ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | โ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | โ |
Actual: Alcorn State Braves -8 (58-66). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamel Waters | 35 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Luther Page | 33 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Phillip Crawford | 31 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Joshua Freelove | 31 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Denzell McDaniel | 30 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Watts | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Shawntez Patterson | 11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Bobby Brown | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jonathan Jefferson | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Alcorn State Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquiz Baker | 35 | 5-16 | 1-10 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 0 | - |
| Anthony Nieves | 31 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Leantwan Luckett | 26 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Ian Francis | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Devonte Hampton | 18 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Michael Starks | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Stephan Raquil | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Josh Nicholas | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Anthony Evans | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Marius Myles | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Jamaal Hester | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter