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Alabama State

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Alabama State Hornets
Program History
Coach: Lewis Jackson

2017 Team Stats (5 games)

64.4
PPG
76.2
Opp
-11.8
Margin
36.1%
FG%
27.1%
3P%
64.0%
FT%
40.8
RPG
9.2
APG
13.4
TO
-
Est. poss./game
61.9
Adj PPG
77.7
Adj Opp PPG
#341
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 584 (#342) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 715 (#338) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More → 885 (#319) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More → -17.1 (#341) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More → -18.2 (#344) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.186 (#325) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -25.6 More → 0.049 (#343) AdjNet -25.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -25.9 More → 0.048 (#343) AdjNet -25.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.9 | AdjD 77.7 More → 0.192 (#341) AdjO 61.9 | AdjD 77.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.3 | AdjD 76.2 More → 0.289 (#337) AdjO 66.3 | AdjD 76.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.131 (#343) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.143 (#343) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 139 | GP 30 More → 651 (#345) RD 139 | GP 30

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-12 @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers L 66 - 79
2016-11-14 @ TCU Horned Frogs L 62 - 98
2016-11-16 @ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs L 56 - 87
2016-11-22 @ Kennesaw State Owls L 72 - 79
2016-11-25 @ Northern Arizona Lumberjacks L 57 - 71
2016-11-26 vs Cal State Fullerton Titans W 76 - 67
2016-11-29 vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks L 69 - 72
2016-12-04 @ Troy Trojans L 65 - 83
2016-12-12 @ San Diego State Aztecs L 41 - 73
2016-12-14 @ Tennessee State Tigers L 46 - 68
2016-12-22 @ Ball State Cardinals L 48 - 73
2016-12-29 vs Fort Valley State Wildcats W 75 - 68
2017-01-02 vs Grambling Tigers W 73 - 69
2017-01-04 vs Jackson State Tigers L 60 - 63
2017-01-07 @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions L 63 - 71
2017-01-09 @ Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils L 70 - 73
2017-01-14 @ Alabama A&M Bulldogs W 57 - 55
2017-01-21 vs Alcorn State Braves L 71 - 78
2017-01-23 vs Southern Jaguars W 79 - 65
2017-01-28 @ Texas Southern Tigers L 68 - 70
2017-01-30 @ Prairie View A&M Panthers L 52 - 72
2017-02-04 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions W 77 - 65
2017-02-06 vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils W 71 - 66
2017-02-11 vs Alabama A&M Bulldogs W 97 - 89
2017-02-18 @ Alcorn State Braves L 67 - 75
2017-02-20 @ Southern Jaguars L 73 - 79
2017-02-25 vs Texas Southern Tigers L 73 - 86
2017-02-27 vs Prairie View A&M Panthers L 58 - 77
2017-03-02 @ Grambling Tigers L 69 - 82
2017-03-04 @ Jackson State Tigers L 59 - 65
2017-03-07 @ Texas Southern Tigers L 72 - 87

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Rodney Simeon Rodney Simeon G 17 24.7 10.5 4.1 0.9 0.4 0.1 2.2 2.6 11.2 -101 19 -5.3 -9.3 37.8 42.9 57.1 -1.26 186.1 51.1
Tony Armstrong Tony Armstrong F 17 26.0 9.8 6.0 0.9 0.5 0.8 1.8 2.4 13.8 -97 19 -5.1 -8.2 39.0 0 62.5 0.53 173.8 39.0
Demetrius Houston Demetrius Houston F 5 28.4 8.4 7.0 1.8 0.8 1.2 3.2 3.6 12.4 - - - - 27.8 0.0 80.0 -0.86 93.8 27.8
Terrance LeFlore Terrance LeFlore G 17 22.9 8.3 2.3 2.4 1.2 0.2 2.6 2.1 9.6 -127 19 -6.7 -12.6 33.3 23.1 14.3 -3.64 180.4 37.5
Reginald Gee Reginald Gee G 17 19.8 7.9 3.4 0.4 0.5 0.1 1.2 2.5 8.5 -86 19 -4.5 -10.0 41.9 26.1 60.0 -2.89 142.4 48.8
Torloft Thomas Torloft Thomas G 17 30.2 7.1 2.2 2.4 0.4 0.2 2.0 3.1 7.2 -104 19 -5.5 -8.2 26.9 25.0 100.0 -0.26 106.4 33.7
Corvon Butler Corvon Butler F 12 18.3 5.8 3.3 0.4 0.8 0.2 0.8 2.5 7.2 -62 13 -4.8 -13.5 33.3 0.0 71.4 -2.4 104.3 33.3
Amir Warnock Amir Warnock C 17 14.1 4.4 4.9 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.4 1.5 7.5 -96 19 -5.1 -14.8 60.0 0 0 -2.8 150.0 60.0
Mikel Tyson Mikel Tyson F 16 12.5 4.2 3.4 0.2 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.8 6.8 -41 18 -2.3 -8.0 66.7 0 50.0 -0.61 243.5 66.7
Steve Rogers Steve Rogers G 15 20.7 3.7 2.1 1.1 0.5 0.0 1.7 1.9 3.7 -107 17 -6.3 -13.6 17.9 15.8 33.3 -2.8 93.8 23.2
Davante Pope Davante Pope - 2 10.0 2.0 1.5 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Austin Rogers Austin Rogers G 5 10.2 0.6 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.0 0.6 -25 6 -4.2 -18.6 20.0 33.3 0 -2.22 30.0 30.0
Artis Cleveland Artis Cleveland F 4 6.2 0.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.8 0.8 0.0 1.8 -28 8 -3.5 -39.0 0 0 0 -3.86 0 0
Glenn Hollaway Glenn Hollaway F 15 5.8 0.5 1.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 1.6 -38 16 -2.4 -15.9 0 0 0 -1.46 0 0
Branden Johnson Branden Johnson F 1 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG