Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils | Alabama State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.5% | 54.5% | +0.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.2% | 64.8% | +3.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama State Hornets +5 (71-66). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings.
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Romain * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Isaac Williams * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 26 | - |
| Ta'Jay Henry * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Kylan Phillips * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jamal Watson * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Rashaan Surles | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Jabari Alex | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Vacha Vaughn | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Lorenzo Hunt | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ronald Strother | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Michael Matlock | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Amos Given | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torloft Thomas * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Reginald Gee * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Rodney Simeon * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Mikel Tyson * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 19 | - |
| Amir Warnock * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Tony Armstrong | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Terrance LeFlore | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Corvon Butler | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Glenn Hollaway | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter