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Alabama State

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Also known as: Alabama State Hornets
Program History
Coach: Lewis Jackson

2007 Team Stats (1 games)

58.0
PPG
92.0
Opp
-34.0
Margin
37.9%
FG%
26.1%
3P%
57.1%
FT%
22.0
RPG
10.0
APG
13.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
55.7
Adj PPG
69.0
Adj Opp PPG
#318
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2006-2007
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 718 (#306) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 802 (#299) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +118 elo More → 930 (#261) HCA +118 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.6 More → -14.6 (#322) HCA +3.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.6 More → -13.0 (#311) HCA +3.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.240 (#278) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -22.6 More → 0.069 (#323) AdjNet -22.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -23.2 More → 0.065 (#323) AdjNet -23.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 55.7 | AdjD 69.0 More → 0.229 (#318) AdjO 55.7 | AdjD 69.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.1 | AdjD 66.6 More → 0.356 (#289) AdjO 60.1 | AdjD 66.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.180 (#318) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.199 (#313) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 135 | GP 29 More → 744 (#312) RD 135 | GP 29

2007 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2006-11-18 @ Southern Miss Golden Eagles L 43 - 80
2006-11-21 @ Georgia State Panthers L 59 - 70
2006-11-24 vs Tuskegee Golden Tigers W 80 - 77
2006-11-27 vs Troy Trojans W 63 - 56
2006-11-30 @ Missouri State Bears L 49 - 89
2006-12-01 @ Santa Clara Broncos L 45 - 71
2006-12-09 @ Alabama Crimson Tide L 58 - 92
2006-12-16 vs Georgia State Panthers L 56 - 64
2006-12-18 @ Mississippi State Bulldogs L 59 - 74
2006-12-29 @ Colorado State Rams L 56 - 61
2006-12-30 @ Kennesaw State Owls L 72 - 78
2007-01-02 vs Jackson State Tigers L 68 - 81
2007-01-04 vs Grambling Tigers W 76 - 66
2007-01-06 @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions W 46 - 43
2007-01-08 @ Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils L 57 - 59
2007-01-13 @ Alabama A&M Bulldogs L 55 - 61
2007-01-20 vs Southern Jaguars W 49 - 44
2007-01-22 vs Alcorn State Braves L 77 - 80
2007-01-27 @ Prairie View A&M Panthers L 47 - 50
2007-01-29 @ Texas Southern Tigers W 78 - 61
2007-02-03 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions W 60 - 56
2007-02-05 vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils L 44 - 52
2007-02-10 vs Alabama A&M Bulldogs W 74 - 70
2007-02-17 @ Southern Jaguars W 71 - 58
2007-02-19 @ Alcorn State Braves L 65 - 66
2007-02-24 vs Prairie View A&M Panthers L 60 - 74
2007-02-26 vs Texas Southern Tigers W 72 - 67
2007-03-01 @ Jackson State Tigers L 65 - 69
2007-03-03 @ Grambling Tigers L 70 - 76
2007-03-07 @ Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils L 52 - 62

2007 Roster

No roster data available for this season.