Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | Grambling Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.4% | 76.6% | +7.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.4% | 56.6% | +1.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Grambling Tigers +6 (76-70). Ratings: 2006-07 season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Edun | 36 | 4-15 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| R. Lott Jr. | 36 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | - |
| A. Hayles | 35 | 7-17 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 9 | - |
| D. Richmond | 30 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| T. Jackson | 19 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| J. Bosh | 17 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Jared Howard | 17 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| T. Moorer | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Grambling Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ratliff | 38 | 7-17 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 10 | - |
| A. Williams | 34 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 5-10 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 18 | - |
| K. Baker | 32 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 8-11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| J. Breaux | 32 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Emmanuel Calloway | 27 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| A. Prestley | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| M. Stevens | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| C. Austin | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| G. Akpele | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter