Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | Southern Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.8% | 78.2% | +8.6 | ✗ (21.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | +3.4 | ✗ (16.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Southern Jaguars -13 (58-71). Ratings: 2006-07 season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hayles | 33 | 7-13 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 9 | - |
| D. Richmond | 32 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| M. Morton | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 17 | - |
| M. Edun | 26 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| R. Lott Jr. | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| J. Bosh | 22 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| T. Jackson | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Porchea | 13 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jared Howard | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Moorer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brandon Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Biddle | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Southern Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Riley-Smith | 33 | 5-16 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 4 | - |
| Chris Davis | 32 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Joseph Jack | 31 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Douglas Scott | 29 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Bradford | 26 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| G. Guillory | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Jazz Williams | 14 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| J. Anderson-Brown | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Ekweozor | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| E. Njomo | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| M. Price | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter