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Akron

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Also known as: Akron Zips
Program History
Coach: John Groce

Model Outputs

2004-2005
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1110 (#80) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1132 (#75) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +110 elo More → 1059 (#73) HCA +110 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.7 More → +7.9 (#69) HCA +3.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.5 More → +6.6 (#77) HCA +3.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.710 (#58) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +10.4 More → 0.769 (#79) AdjNet +10.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +10.5 More → 0.771 (#79) AdjNet +10.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.8 | AdjD 62.6 More → 0.659 (#69) AdjO 69.8 | AdjD 62.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 62.5 More → 0.597 (#72) AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 62.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.684 (#72) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.672 (#73) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 131 | GP 28 More → 1129 (#72) RD 131 | GP 28

2005 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2004-11-19 @ Drake Bulldogs L 88 - 90
2004-11-23 vs Mount Union Raiders W 77 - 47
2004-11-27 vs Hampton Pirates W 80 - 59
2004-12-01 @ Duquesne Dukes W 77 - 65
2004-12-04 @ Northern Illinois Huskies L 58 - 66
2004-12-08 vs Cleveland State Vikings W 79 - 75
2004-12-11 @ Wright State Raiders W 81 - 70
2004-12-23 @ Dayton Flyers L 66 - 77
2004-12-27 vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies W 81 - 52
2005-01-02 vs Ohio Bobcats W 71 - 59
2005-01-06 @ Toledo Rockets L 59 - 70
2005-01-08 @ Western Michigan Broncos L 75 - 84
2005-01-12 vs Buffalo Bulls W 75 - 59
2005-01-15 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles W 76 - 68
2005-01-19 @ Marshall Thundering Herd W 65 - 55
2005-01-22 vs Central Michigan Chippewas W 95 - 56
2005-01-25 vs Ball State Cardinals W 79 - 64
2005-01-30 @ Miami (OH) Redhawks L 63 - 74
2005-02-03 @ Bowling Green Falcons W 71 - 69
2005-02-09 vs Kent State Golden Flashes L 54 - 57
2005-02-14 vs Toledo Rockets W 81 - 79
2005-02-16 @ Ohio Bobcats W 69 - 49
2005-02-19 vs Niagara Purple Eagles W 74 - 68
2005-02-23 vs Miami (OH) Redhawks W 55 - 49
2005-02-26 @ Kent State Golden Flashes L 68 - 73
2005-03-02 vs Marshall Thundering Herd W 71 - 64
2005-03-05 @ Buffalo Bulls L 56 - 72
2005-03-07 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles W 78 - 66
2005-03-10 @ Western Michigan Broncos L 60 - 66

2005 Roster

No roster data available for this season.