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Air Force

Also known as: Air Force Falcons, Air Force
Program History

2019 Team Stats (7 games)

63.6
PPG
70.1
Opp
-6.5
Margin
45.5%
FG%
31.5%
3P%
66.1%
FT%
33.4
RPG
13.0
APG
16.0
TO
74.0
Pace

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 872 (#856) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1082 (#287) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +17.9 (#262) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.052 (#106) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -13.3 More → 0.178 (#94) AdjNet -13.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -13.2 More → 0.178 (#94) AdjNet -13.2

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2018-11-18 @ South Dakota Coyotes W 65 - 62
2018-11-19 vs High Point Panthers L 62 - 69
2018-12-22 @ Michigan Wolverines L 50 - 71
2019-01-19 @ Nevada Wolf Pack L 52 - 67
2019-03-05 vs Nevada Wolf Pack L 79 - 90
2019-03-13 vs San José State Spartans W 87 - 56
2019-03-14 @ Fresno State Bulldogs L 50 - 76

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
L. Scottie L. Scottie F 7 31.7 13.0 5.4 0.9 0.7 0.3 4.4 11.0 4.9 - - - 48.1 34.8 56.2 - 54.1 53.2
R. Swan R. Swan C 7 27.3 11.3 6.0 1.7 0.4 0.9 1.9 7.6 10.9 - - - 58.5 38.9 55.6 - 64.8 65.1
C. Joyce C. Joyce G 7 26.6 10.1 3.6 2.4 0.3 0.1 1.3 7.4 7.9 - - - 48.1 36.0 60.0 - 58.4 56.7
A.J. Walker A.J. Walker G 7 24.9 7.7 2.6 2.6 0.6 0.3 1.6 6.6 5.6 17 1.4 2.7 37.0 36.4 80.0 1.0 51.3 45.7
C. Morris C. Morris G 6 22.3 4.8 2.5 1.7 0.3 0.2 1.8 3.8 3.8 - - - 39.1 33.3 100.0 - 57.5 52.2
S. Tomes S. Tomes G 7 24.7 4.7 2.6 2.0 0.7 0.0 0.7 5.3 4.0 - - - 32.4 25.9 100.0 - 43.6 41.9
A. Akaya A. Akaya G 7 11.7 4.3 2.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.9 3.0 3.7 - - - 57.1 0.0 85.7 - 62.3 57.1
P. Louder P. Louder G 7 11.1 2.7 1.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 2.0 2.6 0.6 - - - 38.9 20.0 40.0 - 42.4 41.7
K. Van Soelen K. Van Soelen F 7 15.9 2.7 2.1 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.9 2.6 2.7 - - - 38.9 0.0 83.3 - 46.0 38.9
L. Brown L. Brown G 4 5.8 2.2 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.8 2.0 26 3.2 14.8 42.9 0.0 60.0 0.47 48.9 42.9
A. Kinrade A. Kinrade F 4 2.5 1.2 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 50.0 100.0 0 - 62.5 62.5
B. Hughes B. Hughes G 2 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 - - - 100.0 0 0.0 - 69.4 100.0
J. Edwards J. Edwards G 2 1.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 55 7.9 37.6 0 0 100.0 1.14 113.6 0
Z. Couper Z. Couper G 2 1.5 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 - - - 0 0 100.0 - 113.6 0
I. Monson I. Monson F 2 2.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
N. Rene N. Rene G 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG