Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.7% | 7.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.1% | 8.9% | -12.8 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 91.3% | 8.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.0% | 8.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.0% | 8.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -11 (79-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Co. Martin * | 39 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| J. Caroline * | 37 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Ca. Martin * | 37 | 6-15 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| T. Thurman * | 28 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| T. Porter * | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| J. Johnson | 31 | 9-13 | 7-10 | 2-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 17 | - |
| C. Henson | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Brown | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Walker * | 37 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| C. Joyce * | 35 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| R. Swan * | 35 | 8-13 | 4-4 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 17 | - |
| C. Morris * | 34 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| L. Scottie * | 34 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| S. Tomes | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Akaya | 8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| K. Van Soelen | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Brown | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| P. Louder | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter