Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.8% | 96.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.5% | 96.5% | +18.3 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 2.7% | 97.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.0% | 98.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.0% | 98.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +15 (67-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Scottie * | 34 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 7 | - |
| S. Tomes * | 31 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A.J. Walker * | 21 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| K. Van Soelen * | 18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| R. Swan * | 17 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| P. Louder | 20 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| A. Akaya | 20 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| C. Joyce | 20 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| C. Morris | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Brown | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Kinrade | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ca. Martin * | 36 | 4-15 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| J. Caroline * | 35 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| C. Henson * | 32 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Co. Martin * | 32 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| T. Porter * | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| J. Johnson | 32 | 4-11 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | - |
| T. Thurman | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| J. Brown | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter