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Adelphi

Season:
Also known as: Adelphi
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1050 (#104) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1178 (#54) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1082 (#87) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +9.5 (#109) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +5.8 (#228) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.716 (#201) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +59.3 More → 0.999 (#36) NetEff +59.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +9.5 More → 0.749 (#270) AdjNet +9.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +9.4 More → 0.750 (#272) AdjNet +9.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.6 | AdjD 70.8 More → 0.650 (#275) AdjO 77.6 | AdjD 70.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.3 | AdjD 66.1 More → 0.615 (#130) AdjO 71.3 | AdjD 66.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.695 (#142) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.687 (#141) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 94 | GP 23 More → 1152 (#76) RD 94 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

No games found for this season.

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.