Adelphi
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1052 (#125) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1081 (#115) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1082 (#87) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +6.1 (#150) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +5.8 (#228) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.716 (#57) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.999 (#35) | NetEff +59.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.749 (#128) | AdjNet +9.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.750 (#130) | AdjNet +9.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.650 (#132) | AdjO 77.6 | AdjD 70.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.615 (#130) | AdjO 71.3 | AdjD 66.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.695 (#142) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.687 (#141) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1146 (#80) | RD 95 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Queens (NY) | W | 77 - 52 |
| 2025-11-16 | @ | Molloy | W | 87 - 74 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Southern Conn. St. | W | 93 - 72 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Staten Island | L | 69 - 78 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Queens (NY) | W | 91 - 82 |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | Chestnut Hill | W | 84 - 63 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | American Int'l | W | 60 - 44 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Franklin Pierce | W | 65 - 63 |
| 2025-12-09 | @ | Mercy | W | 77 - 55 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Dominican (NY) | W | 82 - 77 |
| 2025-12-21 | vs | Goldey-Beacom | W | 68 - 54 |
| 2026-01-01 | @ | Daemen | L | 68 - 72 |
| 2026-01-04 | vs | Saint Anselm | L | 79 - 86 |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Assumption | L | 67 - 77 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Saint Michael's | W | 77 - 75 |
| 2026-01-13 | vs | Pace | W | 56 - 53 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Southern N.H. | W | 63 - 59 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Southern Conn. St. | L | 57 - 71 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Bentley | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Franklin Pierce | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Saint Anselm | L | 75 - 77 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Assumption | W | 79 - 59 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Saint Michael's | W | 73 - 55 |
| 2026-02-10 | @ | Pace | L | 53 - 55 |
| 2026-02-14 | @ | Southern N.H. | L | 62 - 70 |
| 2026-02-18 | vs | Southern Conn. St. | W | 75 - 66 |
| 2026-02-21 | vs | Bentley | L | 76 - 80 |
| 2026-02-24 | @ | American Int'l | W | 72 - 67 |
| 2026-02-28 | @ | Assumption | L | 63 - 76 |
| 2026-03-14 | @ | Felician | L | 53 - 75 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dayshaun Walton | - | 29 | 32.0 | 15.6 | 6.2 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 2.9 | 10.7 | 13.3 | - | - | - | - | 48.4 | 41.7 | 83.3 | - | 61.5 | 55.3 |
| Mason Jackson | - | 27 | 31.2 | 11.9 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 9.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 33.6 | 64.1 | - | 59.4 | 57.9 |
| Patrick Burke | - | 29 | 29.9 | 11.7 | 7.1 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 9.5 | 10.6 | - | - | - | - | 48.4 | 29.3 | 68.6 | - | 55.3 | 52.7 |
| Al-Fatir Connor | - | 29 | 31.7 | 11.1 | 2.8 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 10.1 | 6.8 | - | - | - | - | 42.5 | 31.5 | 70.8 | - | 49.7 | 46.4 |
| Jarnel Rancy | - | 27 | 30.9 | 6.4 | 5.2 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 4.4 | 12.4 | - | - | - | - | 59.7 | 28.6 | 48.3 | - | 59.5 | 60.5 |
| Zakari McQueen | - | 28 | 15.4 | 5.8 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 4.5 | 3.0 | - | - | - | - | 43.7 | 41.8 | 91.7 | - | 61.7 | 59.9 |
| Matthew Price | - | 27 | 19.9 | 5.4 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 5.6 | 2.0 | - | - | - | - | 34.7 | 26.3 | 86.7 | - | 46.9 | 44.7 |
| Reece Brown | - | 27 | 12.7 | 4.4 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 3.3 | 3.3 | - | - | - | - | 55.1 | 33.3 | 78.9 | - | 61.6 | 59.0 |
| Carter Wilson | - | 12 | 5.9 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 2.1 | - | - | - | - | 63.6 | 62.5 | 100.0 | - | 87.4 | 86.4 |
| London Carson | - | 5 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 41.0 | 50.0 |
| Myles Cumberland | - | 11 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0.0 | - | 43.6 | 50.0 |
| Luke Egan | - | 10 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | - | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG