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Model Predictions

Model Indiana Stat... Ball State Cardinals Spread Projected
Elo
2026-27 ratings to date
35.2% (#221) 64.8% (#214) Ball St... -2.6 74-76
Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
31.8% (#355) 68.2% (#254) - -
Margin
2026-27 ratings to date
0.3% (#345) 99.7% (#108) Ball St... -32.5 -
Pythagorean
2026-27 ratings to date
67.5% (#149) 32.5% (#173) - -
Efficiency
2026-27 ratings to date
64.6% (#149) 35.4% (#172) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2026-27 ratings to date
57.9% (#149) 42.1% (#172) - -
Log Adjusted
2026-27 ratings to date
57.8% (#149) 42.2% (#172) - -
Points Off/Def
2026-27 ratings to date
24.1% (#223) 75.9% (#101) - -

2026-27 ratings to date: Spread: 4.6 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.3-point home edge (2025-26 margin fit); projected score: 2025-26's average total of 150 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Indiana Stat... Ball State Cardinals
Games 1 1
PPG 70.0 55.0
FG% 44.3% 27.1%
3PT% 30.0% 13.5%
FT% 83.3% 72.0%
RPG 25.0 47.0
APG 15.0 5.0
SPG 9.0 7.0
BPG 4.0 2.0
TOPG 7.0 15.0

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Indiana Stat... Ball State Cardinals
Adj. Off Eff 98.2 96.7
Adj. Def Eff 101.8 103.3
Adj. Net Eff -3.6 -6.6

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Indiana State Sycamores Top Players

No player data available

Ball State Cardinals Top Players

No player data available