Ball State
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 853 (#233) | Preseason prior 911 (returning production + recruiting): last season 888, returning -22, transfers +58, freshmen -13 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 912 (#258) | HCA +206 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 913 (#260) | HCA +205 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -9.8 (#291) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -9.7 (#290) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.237 (#271) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.307 (#291) | AdjNet -14.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.315 (#287) | AdjNet -13.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.347 (#291) | AdjO 58.8 | AdjD 68.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.348 (#291) | AdjO 58.9 | AdjD 68.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.310 (#284) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.310 (#284) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 894 (#260) | RD 188 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.396 (#212) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | @ | Georgia Southern Eagles | L | 55 - 67 |
| 2026-11-06 | vs | Indiana State Sycamores | L | 66 - 69 |
| 2026-11-09 | vs | Brescia Bearcats | W | 89 - 64 |
| 2026-11-13 | @ | SMU Mustangs | L | 65 - 90 |
| 2026-11-17 | @ | Florida State Seminoles | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sean Blake
|
G | 4 | 29.2 | 16.0 | 3.8 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 11.8 | 11.5 | - | - | - | - | 46.8 | 40.0 | 69.2 | - | 54.8 | 48.9 |
Javion Guy-King
|
G | 4 | 22.2 | 13.0 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 7.5 | 10.2 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 40.0 | 73.7 | - | 67.8 | 63.3 |
Trey Lewis
|
G | 4 | 26.2 | 10.2 | 3.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 10.2 | 3.2 | - | - | - | - | 29.3 | 25.9 | 83.3 | - | 44.3 | 37.8 |
K'Jei Parker
|
G | 2 | 27.5 | 8.5 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 12.0 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | 29.2 | 18.8 | 0 | - | 35.4 | 35.4 |
Joey Hart
|
G | 3 | 17.3 | 6.3 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.7 | 6.0 | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 2.4 | 54.5 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -0.47 | 74.5 | 68.2 |
Kamden McGilveary
|
G | 4 | 13.5 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 4.5 | -1 | 3 | -0.3 | -1.1 | 50.0 | 40.0 | 75.0 | -0.03 | 60.3 | 57.1 |
Mason Jones
|
F | 4 | 31.2 | 4.5 | 7.5 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 6.0 | 7.0 | -28 | 3 | -9.3 | -11.8 | 20.8 | 13.3 | 54.5 | -1.53 | 31.2 | 25.0 |
Kai McGrew
|
F | 4 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 4.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | -14 | 3 | -4.7 | -13.3 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 80.0 | -0.52 | 56.3 | 50.0 |
Aaron Fine
|
G | 4 | 11.5 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 25.0 | 25.0 | - | 50.9 | 54.2 |
Babatunde Durodola
|
F | 1 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 10 | 1 | 10.0 | 39.7 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.89 | 34.7 | 50.0 |
Jazz Henderson
|
G | 4 | 9.8 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 3.0 | 0.2 | - | - | - | - | 25.0 | 25.0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
Jaden Smith
|
C | 3 | 16.0 | 1.7 | 3.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 4.7 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 29.8 | 0.0 |
Kijani Wright
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Zaon Collins
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former Ball State players in G League 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Ball State game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Basheer Jihad | 2021-24 | G League | Motor City Cruise | 0 | - | - | - | - | 11-10 8 pts, 5 reb, 4 ast Play-In | 1 GP, 8.0 PPG, 5.0 RPG, 4.0 APG |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-10 | Basheer Jihad | G League Play-In | Motor City Cruise | @ Cleveland Charge | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | Box |
2026-2027 Shot Zones
233 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Sean BlakeJavion Guy-KingTrey LewisK'Jei ParkerKamden McGilvearyMason JonesJazz HendersonJaden Smith
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 20-31 | 64.5 | 40 | Sean Blake 25% (10 pts) | Aaron Fine 15% (6 pts) | Jaden Smith 18% (2 misses) | Javion Guy-King 18% (2 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 29-69 | 42.0 | 58 | Sean Blake 38% (22 pts) | Javion Guy-King 14% (8 pts) | Sean Blake 35% (14 misses) | Trey Lewis 12% (5 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 3-8 | 37.5 | 6 | Javion Guy-King 33% (2 pts) | K'Jei Parker 33% (2 pts) | Trey Lewis 40% (2 misses) | Jazz Henderson 20% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 3-5 | 60.0 | 6 | K'Jei Parker 33% (2 pts) | Sean Blake 33% (2 pts) | Jazz Henderson 50% (1 misses) | Trey Lewis 50% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 5-11 | 45.5 | 10 | Trey Lewis 60% (6 pts) | Sean Blake 40% (4 pts) | Sean Blake 83% (5 misses) | K'Jei Parker 17% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 5-23 | 21.7 | 15 | Javion Guy-King 40% (6 pts) | Joey Hart 20% (3 pts) | Mason Jones 28% (5 misses) | Trey Lewis 28% (5 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 3-10 | 30.0 | 9 | Kamden McGilveary 67% (6 pts) | Aaron Fine 33% (3 pts) | Mason Jones 43% (3 misses) | Javion Guy-King 29% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 9-34 | 26.5 | 27 | Javion Guy-King 33% (9 pts) | Trey Lewis 33% (9 pts) | Trey Lewis 32% (8 misses) | Javion Guy-King 16% (4 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 5-14 | 35.7 | 15 | Jazz Henderson 20% (3 pts) | Joey Hart 20% (3 pts) | K'Jei Parker 22% (2 misses) | Mason Jones 22% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 8-28 | 28.6 | 24 | Javion Guy-King 38% (9 pts) | Trey Lewis 25% (6 pts) | K'Jei Parker 30% (6 misses) | Trey Lewis 25% (5 misses) |