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Indiana State

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Indiana State Sycamores, Indiana State
Program History
Coach: Matthew Graves

2026 Team Stats (30 games)

73.2
PPG
74.8
Opp
-1.6
Margin
46.3%
FG%
31.5%
3P%
67.4%
FT%
34.9
RPG
17.6
APG
14.0
TO
79.2
Pace
73.8
AdjO
76.1
AdjD
#197
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 816 (#320) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 902 (#253) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 896 (#673) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -2.2 (#196) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +10.8 (#221) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.370 (#252) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -9.8 More → 0.245 (#261) NetEff -9.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -2.1 More → 0.439 (#186) AdjNet -2.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -2.1 More → 0.440 (#186) AdjNet -2.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.8 | AdjD 76.1 More → 0.447 (#197) AdjO 73.8 | AdjD 76.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.3 | AdjD 72.1 More → 0.481 (#331) AdjO 71.3 | AdjD 72.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.650 (#251) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.602 (#259) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 155 | GP 30 More → 912 (#437) RD 155 | GP 30

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 @ Charlotte 49ers L 76 - 92
2025-11-06 vs Illinois Tech Scarlet Hawks W 104 - 73
2025-11-10 @ SIU Edwardsville Cougars W 64 - 55
2025-11-14 @ Duke Blue Devils L 62 - 100
2025-11-19 vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs W 60 - 51
2025-11-22 vs Ball State Cardinals W 70 - 52
2025-11-26 @ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs L 73 - 75
2025-11-28 @ Alcorn State Braves L 74 - 81
2025-12-02 vs Eureka Red Devils W 99 - 57
2025-12-14 @ Milwaukee Panthers W 70 - 68
2025-12-18 vs Bradley Braves L 99 - 108
2025-12-21 @ Illinois State Redbirds L 65 - 85
2025-12-29 vs Belmont Bruins W 81 - 80
2026-01-01 @ Northern Iowa Panthers L 66 - 75
2026-01-04 @ Drake Bulldogs L 72 - 74
2026-01-10 vs Evansville Purple Aces L 69 - 72
2026-01-14 vs Illinois State Redbirds W 94 - 89
2026-01-21 @ Bradley Braves L 68 - 75
2026-01-24 vs Drake Bulldogs L 62 - 76
2026-01-27 @ UIC Flames L 74 - 76
2026-01-31 vs Valparaiso Beacons L 72 - 76
2026-02-03 @ Evansville Purple Aces W 84 - 63
2026-02-09 vs Southern Illinois Salukis L 65 - 80
2026-02-12 vs Murray State Racers L 72 - 74
2026-02-15 @ Valparaiso Beacons L 75 - 76
2026-02-18 vs Northern Iowa Panthers L 60 - 81
2026-02-21 @ Belmont Bruins L 70 - 87
2026-02-25 @ Southern Illinois Salukis L 55 - 66
2026-03-01 vs UIC Flames W 79 - 63
2026-03-05 @ Valparaiso Beacons L 62 - 63

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ian Scott Ian Scott - 30 29.8 13.4 6.4 2.5 1.1 1.0 2.1 8.0 14.4 -19 -0.8 -2.5 63.6 38.8 71.6 -0.34 69.9 67.6
C. Wagner C. Wagner G 30 28.6 11.5 4.3 1.8 0.8 0.2 1.8 10.5 6.4 -40 -1.7 -5.7 36.8 33.9 90.2 -0.49 51.8 48.9
S. Young S. Young G 28 23.5 10.1 1.4 1.9 0.7 0.0 1.6 9.1 3.5 82 4.1 10.1 39.2 33.3 86.4 0.05 51.6 48.0
D. Vorst D. Vorst C 20 21.9 8.6 4.2 1.4 0.5 0.6 0.9 5.3 8.9 -55 -3.1 -11.7 56.6 42.1 53.8 -0.18 60.6 60.4
M. Harding M. Harding C 21 21.2 7.7 3.6 0.8 0.4 0.5 2.1 6.2 4.6 0 0.0 0.0 51.1 34.9 56.5 -0.33 57.4 56.9
X. Hall X. Hall - 30 27.9 7.5 2.1 4.3 0.8 0.0 1.8 6.4 6.5 12 0.5 2.1 43.0 21.7 75.0 -0.06 51.9 47.7
B. Alocen B. Alocen G 30 21.4 6.4 2.9 1.6 0.6 0.1 1.1 5.3 5.3 -23 -1.1 -8.5 37.5 30.4 78.7 -0.58 53.1 48.4
Jo Van Buggenhout Jo Van Buggenhout - 24 20.9 6.2 2.0 3.1 0.6 0.0 1.6 6.0 4.5 -77 -4.1 -22.3 39.2 28.6 62.5 -0.42 48.5 46.9
Enel St. Bernard Enel St. Bernard - 29 17.7 5.7 5.4 0.9 0.8 1.0 1.0 3.4 9.3 - - - 70.0 0.0 40.3 - 64.8 70.0
J. Walker J. Walker G 10 6.6 2.4 1.5 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.9 1.6 2.5 1 0.2 0.5 56.2 25.0 80.0 -0.28 65.9 62.5
Z. Greene Z. Greene - 4 7.2 2.0 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 0.2 0 0.0 0.0 30.0 12.5 50.0 -0.08 36.8 35.0
Sivert Nordheim Sivert Nordheim - 17 4.1 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.8 0.5 10 0.9 44.8 35.5 16.7 80.0 -0.19 42.2 38.7
H. Harding H. Harding - 10 6.1 1.4 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.8 2 0.3 2.2 66.7 50.0 0 -0.11 77.8 77.8
C. Bean C. Bean - 16 4.8 1.2 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.9 -7 -0.8 -28.1 47.1 33.3 0.0 -0.1 55.9 58.8
C. Huttenlocker C. Huttenlocker - 9 2.2 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1 -0.1 - - - 20.0 25.0 0 - 30.0 30.0
Martin Kaupanger Martin Kaupanger G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG