Indiana State
2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 852 (#234) | Preseason prior 904 (returning production + recruiting): last season 937, returning -46, transfers +23, freshmen -11 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 928 (#238) | HCA +206 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 929 (#239) | HCA +205 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -8.4 (#276) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -8.3 (#276) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.368 (#199) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.353 (#252) | AdjNet -10.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.352 (#249) | AdjNet -10.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.351 (#287) | AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 77.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.352 (#287) | AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 77.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.338 (#263) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.338 (#263) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 921 (#230) | RD 180 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More โ | 0.404 (#207) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | Charlotte 49ers | L | 70 - 78 |
| 2026-11-06 | @ | Ball State Cardinals | W | 69 - 66 |
| 2026-11-11 | vs | Milwaukee Panthers | L | 73 - 82 |
| 2026-11-14 | vs | Earlham Quakers | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-20 | @ | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Karmani Gregory
|
G | 3 | 35.0 | 21.3 | 2.7 | 5.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 16.3 | 11.7 | 4 | 3 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 42.9 | 33.3 | 73.9 | -0.52 | 54.1 | 48.0 |
Maguire Mitchell
|
G | 3 | 34.7 | 13.3 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 9.7 | 7.0 | 1 | 3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 51.7 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -0.18 | 66.0 | 63.8 |
Jack Cooper
|
F | 3 | 28.3 | 11.3 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 48.1 | 66.7 | 60.0 | -0.08 | 54.1 | 51.9 |
Duce Paschal
|
G | 3 | 16.7 | 7.3 | 6.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.7 | 8.7 | -10 | 3 | -3.3 | -7.9 | 35.3 | 0.0 | 76.9 | -0.74 | 48.4 | 35.3 |
Chance Puryear
|
G | 3 | 24.0 | 7.0 | 4.7 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 6.7 | -2 | 3 | -0.7 | -1.1 | 38.1 | 36.4 | 50.0 | -1.11 | 48.0 | 47.6 |
Meechie White
|
G | 3 | 11.7 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 3.0 | -18 | 3 | -6.0 | -20.9 | 60.0 | 50.0 | 60.0 | -1.12 | 69.4 | 70.0 |
Kade Speckman
|
F | 3 | 7.3 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.3 | -8 | 3 | -2.7 | -14.1 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.64 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
Alessio Calamita
|
F | 3 | 17.3 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 3.0 | 2.3 | -10 | 3 | -3.3 | -7.6 | 22.2 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -0.64 | 32.5 | 22.2 |
EJ McQuillan
|
ATH | 3 | 17.7 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 2.0 | -23 | 3 | -7.7 | -17.7 | 28.6 | 33.3 | 0.0 | -1.08 | 38.1 | 42.9 |
DeShawn Denson II
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
EJ Hazelett III
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Martin Kaupanger
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Kingston Land
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Greyson Pritzl
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Ian Thomas
|
G | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -2 | 1 | -2.0 | -228.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.38 | 0 | 0 |
Aleksa Vlajic
|
F | 3 | 7.3 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 0.3 | -5 | 3 | -1.7 | -10.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.39 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former Indiana State players in NBA 2026-2027, G League 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Indiana State game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake LaRavia | 2019-21 | NBA | Los Angeles Lakers | 12 | 24.5 | 5.6 | 4.0 | 2.2 | 11-11 0 pts, 9 reb, 6 ast | 12 GP, 5.6 PPG, 4.0 RPG, 2.2 APG |
| Jayson Kent | 2022-24 | NBA | Portland Trail Blazers | 3 | 9.9 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 11-13 3 pts, 1 reb, 0 ast | 3 GP, 2.3 PPG, 1.0 RPG, 0.3 APG |
| Tyreke Key | 2017-21 | G League | Raptors 905 | 0 | - | - | - | - | 11-11 36 pts, 6 reb, 3 ast Play-In | 3 GP, 29.0 PPG, 4.3 RPG, 3.7 APG |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | Jayson Kent | NBA | Portland Trail Blazers | @ Sacramento Kings | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-11 | Tyreke Key | G League Play-In | Raptors 905 | vs Greensboro Swarm | 33 | 36 | 6 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-11-11 | Jake LaRavia | NBA | Los Angeles Lakers | @ Milwaukee Bucks | 21 | 0 | 9 | 6 | Box |
| 2026-11-09 | Jake LaRavia | NBA | Los Angeles Lakers | @ Atlanta Hawks | 32 | 4 | 3 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-11-08 | Tyreke Key | G League Play-In | Raptors 905 | @ College Park Skyhawks | 38 | 23 | 2 | 6 | Box |
| 2026-11-08 | Jake LaRavia | NBA | Los Angeles Lakers | @ Detroit Pistons | 29 | 5 | 1 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-07 | Jayson Kent | NBA | Portland Trail Blazers | vs San Antonio Spurs | 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-06 | Tyreke Key | G League Play-In | Raptors 905 | @ College Park Skyhawks | 35 | 28 | 5 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-10-21 | Jayson Kent | NBA | Portland Trail Blazers | vs Phoenix Suns | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Box |
2026-2027 Shot Zones
175 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Karmani GregoryMaguire MitchellJack CooperChance PuryearAlessio Calamita
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 25-40 | 62.5 | 50 | Jack Cooper 28% (14 pts) | Chance Puryear 12% (6 pts) | Alessio Calamita 13% (2 misses) | Chance Puryear 13% (2 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 25-65 | 38.5 | 50 | Karmani Gregory 44% (22 pts) | Jack Cooper 16% (8 pts) | Karmani Gregory 35% (14 misses) | Jack Cooper 22% (9 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 2-5 | 40.0 | 4 | Karmani Gregory 100% (4 pts) | - | Alessio Calamita 33% (1 misses) | Jack Cooper 33% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 0-0 | - | 0 | - | - | - | - |
| Mid-range right | 1-5 | 20.0 | 2 | Maguire Mitchell 100% (2 pts) | - | Jack Cooper 50% (2 misses) | Alessio Calamita 25% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 4-8 | 50.0 | 12 | Chance Puryear 25% (3 pts) | Jack Cooper 25% (3 pts) | Alessio Calamita 25% (1 misses) | Chance Puryear 25% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 1-7 | 14.3 | 3 | Chance Puryear 100% (3 pts) | - | Chance Puryear 33% (2 misses) | Aleksa Vlajic 17% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 6-13 | 46.2 | 18 | Maguire Mitchell 50% (9 pts) | Chance Puryear 17% (3 pts) | Chance Puryear 29% (2 misses) | Karmani Gregory 29% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 4-13 | 30.8 | 12 | Karmani Gregory 50% (6 pts) | Maguire Mitchell 50% (6 pts) | Maguire Mitchell 44% (4 misses) | Karmani Gregory 33% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 6-19 | 31.6 | 18 | Karmani Gregory 33% (6 pts) | Chance Puryear 17% (3 pts) | Karmani Gregory 38% (5 misses) | Aleksa Vlajic 15% (2 misses) |