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Rice Owls 14-13
@
2022-02-03
UTSA Roadrunners 7-23

Model Predictions

Model Rice Owls UTSA Roadrunners Spread Projected
Elo
2021-22 season-end ratings
 43.6% (#155) 56.4% (#232) Rice Owls -3.7 68-64
Bradley-Terry
2021-22 season-end ratings
 67.2% (#170) 32.8% (#285) - -
Margin
2021-22 season-end ratings
 80.1% (#175) 19.9% (#284) Rice Owls -7.7 -
Pythagorean
2021-22 season-end ratings
 80.6% (#189) 19.4% (#326) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2021-22 season-end ratings
 89.2% (#172) 10.8% (#291) - -
Log Adjusted
2021-22 season-end ratings
 89.2% (#171) 10.8% (#290) - -
Points Off/Def
2021-22 season-end ratings
 64.4% (#176) 35.6% (#286) - -

2021-22 season-end ratings: Spread: 5.2 points per 100 Elo plus a 1.7-point home edge (2020-21 margin fit); projected score: 2020-21's average total of 131 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Rice Owls UTSA Roadrunners
Games 27 30
PPG 66.9 53.9
FG% 40.1% 33.2%
3PT% 29.4% 23.4%
FT% 70.9% 65.4%
RPG 39.3 41.8
APG 12.3 9.7
SPG 7.4 8.0
BPG 2.9 3.1
TOPG 17.8 19.9

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Rice Owls UTSA Roadrunners
Adj. Off Eff 99.8 91.5
Adj. Def Eff 100.2 108.5
Adj. Net Eff -0.5 -17.0

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Rice Owls Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Maya Bokunewicz 9.9 5.3 1.0 0.7 0.1 34.0
Destiny Jackson 9.6 5.5 4.6 1.7 0.3 33.4
Malia Fisher 10.9 8.5 2.0 1.7 1.0 31.9
Haylee Swayze 8.7 3.2 1.1 1.1 0.3 31.3
Ashlee Austin 16.5 5.9 1.5 0.9 0.5 29.3

UTSA Roadrunners Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Jadyn Pimentel 8.2 3.7 2.9 2.8 0.1 27.6
LaPraisjah Johnson 8.5 4.2 1.5 0.8 0.3 26.0
Queen Ulabo 6.4 5.7 1.0 1.3 0.4 23.8
Chantel Govan 4.0 2.2 1.4 0.7 0.1 23.0
Hailey Atwood 3.4 4.3 0.7 0.5 0.3 21.9