UTSA
2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)
60.0
PPG
61.7
Opp
-1.7
Margin
39.0%
FG%
27.9%
3P%
69.4%
FT%
39.0
RPG
12.0
APG
19.7
TO
68.3
Est. poss./game
59.2
Adj PPG
58.5
Adj Opp PPG
#136
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1076 (#122) | Preseason prior 1090 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1127, returning -22, transfers -14, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1038 (#128) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1037 (#128) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +6.2 (#111) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +6.2 (#111) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.542 (#146) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.588 (#130) | AdjNet +2.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.580 (#136) | AdjNet +1.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.557 (#136) | AdjO 59.2 | AdjD 58.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.557 (#136) | AdjO 59.2 | AdjD 58.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.577 (#134) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.577 (#134) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1031 (#140) | RD 183 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.586 (#127) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-06 | @ | UNLV Lady Rebels | L | 51 - 69 |
| 2026-11-08 | @ | San Diego State Aztecs | L | 56 - 65 |
| 2026-11-11 | vs | Incarnate Word Cardinals | W | 73 - 51 |
| 2026-11-16 | vs | Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Damara Allen
|
G | 3 | 28.0 | 11.7 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 6.0 | -20 | 3 | -6.7 | -9.5 | 36.4 | 29.4 | 85.7 | -0.62 | 48.5 | 43.9 |
Adriana Robles
|
PG | 3 | 28.7 | 10.3 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 11 | 3 | 3.7 | 5.1 | 52.4 | 44.4 | 62.5 | 2.06 | 63.2 | 61.9 |
Kierra Merchant
|
G | 3 | 26.7 | 9.7 | 5.0 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 8.3 | 8.7 | -4 | 3 | -1.3 | -2.0 | 44.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -0.95 | 55.1 | 52.0 |
Idara Udo
|
F | 3 | 25.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 3.3 | 6.7 | 3.7 | -6 | 3 | -2.0 | -3.2 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.23 | 57.5 | 60.0 |
Taylor Ross
|
F | 3 | 21.7 | 7.7 | 6.3 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 5.7 | 8.7 | -10 | 3 | -3.3 | -6.1 | 47.1 | 28.6 | 100.0 | -0.7 | 59.9 | 52.9 |
Praise Egharevba
|
F | 3 | 17.7 | 5.7 | 4.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 7.7 | 2.7 | 12 | 3 | 4.0 | 9.1 | 34.8 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0.51 | 36.3 | 37.0 |
Mia Hammonds
|
G | 3 | 21.7 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | -1.7 | -14 | 3 | -4.7 | -8.5 | 12.5 | 11.1 | 50.0 | -2.83 | 17.5 | 14.6 |
Amaya McDonald
|
F | 2 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3 | 2 | 1.5 | 12.9 | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.37 | 52.1 | 50.0 |
Sanaa Bean
|
F | 3 | 7.3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | -2 | 3 | -0.7 | -3.5 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -2.63 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Jana Ros
|
PG | 1 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -2 | 1 | -2.0 | -20.8 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.03 | 56.8 | 0 |
Emily Hunter
|
C | 3 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | -2 | 3 | -0.7 | -8.3 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -2.11 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Maya Linton
|
G | 3 | 15.0 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 8 | 3 | 2.7 | 7.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.42 | 14.5 | 0.0 |
Bhret Clay
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Marie Han
|
G | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 42.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.97 | 0 | 0 |
Sema Udo
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
177 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Damara AllenAdriana RoblesKierra MerchantIdara UdoTaylor RossPraise EgharevbaMia HammondsSanaa Bean
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 16-32 | 50.0 | 32 | Taylor Ross 25% (8 pts) | Idara Udo 19% (6 pts) | Praise Egharevba 44% (7 misses) | Adriana Robles 12% (2 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 26-57 | 45.6 | 52 | Idara Udo 27% (14 pts) | Adriana Robles 19% (10 pts) | Mia Hammonds 32% (10 misses) | Praise Egharevba 19% (6 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 2-5 | 40.0 | 4 | Damara Allen 50% (2 pts) | Taylor Ross 50% (2 pts) | Kierra Merchant 67% (2 misses) | Idara Udo 33% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 4-10 | 40.0 | 8 | Sanaa Bean 50% (4 pts) | Damara Allen 25% (2 pts) | Idara Udo 50% (3 misses) | Damara Allen 17% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 4-12 | 33.3 | 8 | Damara Allen 50% (4 pts) | Idara Udo 25% (2 pts) | Damara Allen 25% (2 misses) | Mia Hammonds 25% (2 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 2-5 | 40.0 | 6 | Kierra Merchant 100% (6 pts) | - | Damara Allen 100% (3 misses) | - |
| Right corner 3 | 0-4 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Kierra Merchant 50% (2 misses) | Mia Hammonds 50% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 5-24 | 20.8 | 15 | Adriana Robles 40% (6 pts) | Damara Allen 20% (3 pts) | Damara Allen 26% (5 misses) | Kierra Merchant 26% (5 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 7-15 | 46.7 | 21 | Adriana Robles 29% (6 pts) | Damara Allen 29% (6 pts) | Damara Allen 38% (3 misses) | Adriana Robles 25% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 3-13 | 23.1 | 9 | Damara Allen 67% (6 pts) | Kierra Merchant 33% (3 pts) | Mia Hammonds 50% (5 misses) | Taylor Ross 20% (2 misses) |