🐻⬇️🏀

Xavier Musketeers 13-8
@
2021-01-20
UConn Huskies 15-8

Model Predictions

Model Xavier Musketeers UConn Huskies Spread Projected
Elo
2020-21 season-end ratings
 32.2% (#49) 67.8% (#39) UConn Huskies -4.1 68-73
Bradley-Terry
2020-21 season-end ratings
 36.5% (#76) 63.5% (#54) - -
Margin
2020-21 season-end ratings
 22.5% (#57) 77.5% (#21) UConn Huskies -6.8 -
Pythagorean
2020-21 season-end ratings
 43.7% (#83) 56.3% (#37) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2020-21 season-end ratings
 27.7% (#55) 72.3% (#29) - -
Log Adjusted
2020-21 season-end ratings
 27.8% (#55) 72.2% (#29) - -
Points Off/Def
2020-21 season-end ratings
 33.5% (#60) 66.5% (#23) - -

2020-21 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 3.0-point home edge (2019-20 margin fit); projected score: 2019-20's average total of 141 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Xavier Musketeers UConn Huskies
Games 21 22
PPG 74.8 70.4
FG% 45.8% 42.7%
3PT% 32.5% 33.2%
FT% 69.4% 72.2%
RPG 37.7 38.0
APG 17.6 12.5
SPG 6.9 6.0
BPG 4.0 5.2
TOPG 11.2 11.5

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Xavier Musketeers UConn Huskies
Adj. Off Eff 107.2 109.9
Adj. Def Eff 92.8 90.1
Adj. Net Eff 14.3 19.7

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Xavier Musketeers Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
P. Scruggs 14.0 4.0 5.7 1.6 0.5 32.7
Nate Johnson 11.4 4.2 1.7 1.2 0.1 31.5
Zach Freemantle 16.1 8.9 1.4 0.7 0.9 31.5
Colby Jones 7.7 4.8 2.9 1.3 0.3 27.8
Jason Carter 5.5 6.0 1.5 0.7 0.7 26.6

UConn Huskies Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
James Bouknight 18.6 5.5 1.8 1.0 0.2 31.7
R.J. Cole 12.0 3.1 4.2 1.0 0.0 31.1
Tyrese Martin 10.3 7.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 30.1
Isaiah Whaley 7.9 6.1 1.6 1.0 2.7 28.1
Tyler Polley 7.2 1.7 0.3 0.1 0.3 20.4